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Game Recap
ARI1
Final/SOSat, Oct 16, 2021Every game that night
BUF2

BUF beat ARI 2-1 in a shootout, and the chances backed it up: 3.00 expected goals to 1.51. BUF outshot ARI 33 to 21. D. Tokarski stopped 20 of 21.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdSOT
ARI10001
BUF01012
  1. 1st 13:51ARIA. Ladd0.17 xG
  2. 2nd 1:05BUFC. EakinPP0.19 xG

Team Stats

ARIBUF
21Shots on goal33
1.51Expected goals3.00
36Shot attempts53
155v5 shots on goal28
0/2Power play1/2
15Hits15
10Blocked shots9
2Penalty minutes4
2Giveaways7
5Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ARI 1.51 xGBUF 3.00 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTARI goal, 13:51BUF goal, 1:05

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ARI21 on goal, 1 scored
BUF33 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. LarssonLW011120+1018:250:00
R. DzingelC011200+1017:270:00
A. LaddLW101220+1016:101:27
C. KellerRW0002100018:503:03
L. CrouseLW0003210018:382:33
P. KesselRW0000000015:592:55
N. SchmaltzC0001010015:531:05
L. ErikssonLW0001000014:381:40
C. FischerRW0000000014:382:20
J. BeagleC0000000214:170:00
T. BoydC0001010012:320:00
L. O'BrienC0001200011:430:00
J. ChychrunD0005410027:300:57
A. StralmanD0000000021:190:00
C. TimminsD000013+1018:390:00
V. SoderstromD0001020018:270:59
S. GostisbehereD0000010018:243:01
I. LyubushkinD000110+1017:380:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Vejmelka33321.97065:00OT loss
C. Hutton000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. CaggiulaLW0112300013:380:28
C. EakinC1011020012:250:12
V. OlofssonLW0003000221:062:31
T. ThompsonC0002010019:452:31
R. AsplundC0003000017:000:53
Z. GirgensonsC0003100016:562:28
K. OkposoRW0001000016:381:13
J. SkinnerLW000500-1016:232:31
D. CozensC000000-1015:491:22
A. BjorkLW0001000013:250:00
V. HinostrozaC000200-1013:020:01
A. RuotsalainenC0000100012:070:00
R. DahlinD0111300025:212:58
J. BrysonD0001110022:361:11
C. MillerD0004120222:261:05
W. ButcherD0000000018:550:01
R. HaggD000022-1016:570:00
M. PysykD000431-1016:310:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Tokarski21201.95265:00Win
C. Anderson000–0:00