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Game Recap
ARI1
FinalSat, Jan 27, 2024Every game that night
CAR3

CAR beat ARI 3-1, and the chances backed it up: 4.96 expected goals to 1.10. CAR outshot ARI 39 to 11. S. Jarvis led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). A. Raanta stopped 10 of 11.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
ARI1001
CAR0123
  1. 1st 14:21ARIL. Cooley0.39 xG
  2. 2nd 7:57CARM. NecasPP0.17 xG
  3. 3rd 19:24CARD. Orlov0.02 xG
  4. 3rd 19:37CARJ. Fast0.18 xG

Team Stats

ARICAR
11Shots on goal39
1.10Expected goals4.96
31Shot attempts89
105v5 shots on goal33
0/1Power play1/2
19Hits24
24Blocked shots14
6Penalty minutes4
7Giveaways5
10Takeaways15

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ARI 1.10 xGCAR 4.96 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdARI goal, 14:21CAR goal, 7:57CAR goal, 19:24CAR goal, 19:37

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ARI11 on goal, 1 scored
CAR39 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. GuentherRW0111030012:461:36
L. CooleyC101121+1212:360:00
C. KellerRW0002020022:312:00
A. KerfootC000101-2018:491:45
L. CrouseLW0000220017:190:15
M. MaccelliLW000000-1017:000:00
N. SchmaltzC000021-1016:322:00
N. BjugstadC0001100215:530:24
J. ZuckerLW000121-1215:060:00
J. McBainC0000110013:180:00
L. O'BrienC000031008:480:00
M. CarconeLW000101007:080:00
J. MoserD011102+1026:030:00
S. DurziD0001030026:512:00
J. BrownD0001210018:090:00
M. KesselringD000022-1017:490:00
J. VälimäkiD000011-1015:370:00
V. SoderstromD0000110013:200:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Ingram39363.92360:00Loss
K. Vejmelka000–0:00

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. JarvisRW022610+1016:281:53
M. NecasC101410+1217:540:57
J. DruryC011002+1014:380:32
J. FastRW101420+1010:360:00
S. AhoC000130-1021:331:53
T. TeravainenC000400-1018:441:28
J. MartinookLW0002110017:190:00
M. BuntingLW0000200216:441:28
J. StaalC000320+1014:420:00
S. NoesenRW0000210010:200:32
B. LemieuxLW000131009:420:00
J. KotkaniemiC000120009:300:19
B. BurnsD0111100022:071:53
D. OrlovD1013210016:400:00
J. ChatfieldD0111220014:010:00
B. SkjeiD000204+1022:580:32
B. PesceD000301+1021:200:13
J. SlavinD0003010020:440:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Raanta11101.90960:00Win
P. Kochetkov000–0:00