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Game Recap
ARI2
Final/OTSat, Mar 11, 2023Every game that night
COL3

COL beat ARI 3-2 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 4.15 expected goals to 2.38. COL outshot ARI 44 to 20. N. MacKinnon led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). A. Georgiev stopped 18 of 20.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
ARI20002
COL11013
  1. 1st 2:00COLD. Malgin0.11 xG
  2. 1st 6:50ARIJ. McBain0.04 xG
  3. 1st 17:18ARIC. Keller0.10 xG
  4. 2nd 11:25COLN. MacKinnonPP0.07 xG
  5. OT 1:38COLC. Makar0.17 xG

Team Stats

ARICOL
20Shots on goal44
2.38Expected goals4.15
30Shot attempts89
165v5 shots on goal34
0/1Power play1/3
17Hits11
21Blocked shots4
6Penalty minutes2
4Giveaways5
1Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ARI 2.38 xGCOL 4.15 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTCOL goal, 2:00ARI goal, 6:50ARI goal, 17:18COL goal, 11:25COL goal, 1:38

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ARI20 on goal, 2 scored
COL44 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. KellerRW101202+1020:021:00
M. MaccelliLW0111000019:151:42
B. HaytonC011310+1218:351:10
L. CrouseLW0111110018:130:55
J. McBainC101201+1017:220:50
N. SchmaltzC000111+1019:190:18
T. BoydC0001010214:421:05
L. O'BrienC000141-1014:170:00
B. RitchieRW0001200011:410:00
L. DauphinC000111-1010:480:00
Z. KassianRW000100-128:320:00
C. FischerRW000000005:320:00
J. VälimäkiD0002150022:421:04
J. BrownD0000210022:260:00
J. MoserD0001040022:131:00
P. NemethD000200+1021:240:00
V. SoderstromD0000030017:260:56
C. MackeyD0000400014:550:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Ingram44413.93261:38OT loss
K. Vejmelka000–0:00

COL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. RantanenRW0221000021:504:04
N. MacKinnonC1126000021:204:06
A. LehkonenLW011500-1217:432:57
A. NewhookC011100+109:340:23
D. MalginC101210+109:190:00
J. CompherLW000301-1021:564:03
E. RodriguesC000200-1017:251:55
V. NichushkinRW000400-1017:061:25
L. EllerC0003100013:210:00
L. O'ConnorRW0001000012:330:00
A. CoglianoC0000100011:370:00
M. NietoLW000100+1010:270:00
C. MakarD1015010026:103:51
B. HuntD011010+1010:120:00
D. ToewsD000410-1024:101:53
S. GirardD0005000022:431:32
B. ByramD000051-2021:231:21
J. JohnsonD000111+1014:350:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Georgiev20182.90061:08Win
J. Johansson000–0:00