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Game Recap
ARI3
FinalTue, Jan 3, 2023Every game that night
FLA5

FLA beat ARI 5-3 despite fewer good chances: 2.75 expected goals to 3.30. M. Tkachuk scored three for FLA. S. Knight stopped 33 of 36.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
ARI1203
FLA2305
  1. 1st 1:09FLAM. Tkachuk0.20 xG
  2. 1st 11:21FLAE. Staal0.05 xG
  3. 1st 19:57ARIJ. ChychrunPP0.17 xG
  4. 2nd 5:17ARIC. Keller0.09 xG
  5. 2nd 10:37FLAM. Tkachuk0.08 xG
  6. 2nd 13:59ARIN. Bjugstad0.09 xG
  7. 2nd 16:01FLAE. Staal0.19 xG
  8. 2nd 19:29FLAM. TkachukPP0.07 xG

Team Stats

ARIFLA
36Shots on goal37
3.30Expected goals2.75
61Shot attempts55
295v5 shots on goal30
1/2Power play1/2
22Hits29
10Blocked shots13
4Penalty minutes6
15Giveaways18
3Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ARI 3.30 xGFLA 2.75 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdFLA goal, 1:09FLA goal, 11:21ARI goal, 19:57ARI goal, 5:17FLA goal, 10:37ARI goal, 13:59FLA goal, 16:01FLA goal, 19:29

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ARI36 on goal, 3 scored
FLA36 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. KellerRW112400-1024:281:56
N. SchmaltzC011200-1019:231:52
N. BjugstadC1012200218:050:36
J. McBainC0113100016:280:00
L. CrouseLW0003320018:261:26
B. HaytonC000300-1018:031:11
T. BoydC000100-1015:580:32
C. FischerRW000330-1015:450:09
N. RitchieLW000041-1213:320:00
L. DauphinC000401009:500:00
M. CarconeLW000200008:460:09
J. ChychrunD101541-2025:101:59
J. MoserD0111010018:340:41
J. VälimäkiD011200-2013:360:29
S. GostisbehereD000020-1024:361:47
T. StecherD0001010014:500:09
P. NemethD0000120012:390:00
J. BrownD000021+1010:480:09
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Vejmelka37325.86557:53Loss
C. Ingram000–0:00

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. TkachukLW314600+2221:272:31
E. StaalC202201+2010:230:00
A. BarkovC011122+1021:472:10
S. ReinhartC011200-1016:272:15
R. LombergLW011420+2010:210:00
C. VerhaegheC0001000017:591:00
S. BennettC0001410017:391:03
E. LuostarinenC000130+1017:090:39
A. LundellC000111-1013:400:55
C. WhiteC0001120011:490:00
N. CousinsC000110-1010:180:00
G. SmithRW000220+109:290:00
G. ForslingD0112300024:410:39
J. MahuraD011420+1014:000:00
A. EkbladD0002120224:192:07
B. MontourD000310+1021:222:31
M. StaalD000123+1018:340:00
R. GudasD000241+1216:120:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Knight36333.91759:47Win
S. Bobrovsky000–0:00