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Game Recap
ARI2
FinalTue, Feb 27, 2024Every game that night
MTL4

MTL beat ARI 4-2 despite fewer good chances: 2.74 expected goals to 3.70. ARI outshot MTL 38 to 21. J. Armia led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). S. Montembeault stopped 36 of 38.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
ARI0112
MTL1124
  1. 1st 7:52MTLJ. Armia0.18 xG
  2. 2nd 4:52MTLJ. Harris0.12 xG
  3. 2nd 7:42ARIA. Kerfoot0.16 xG
  4. 3rd 5:14MTLT. Pearson0.24 xG
  5. 3rd 14:23ARIN. Bjugstad0.10 xG
  6. 3rd 19:57MTLN. SuzukiEN0.17 xG

Team Stats

ARIMTL
38Shots on goal21
3.70Expected goals2.74
82Shot attempts39
305v5 shots on goal18
0/3Power play0/0
18Hits22
12Blocked shots24
0Penalty minutes6
17Giveaways18
1Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ARI 3.70 xGMTL 2.74 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdMTL goal, 7:52MTL goal, 4:52ARI goal, 7:42MTL goal, 5:14ARI goal, 14:23MTL goal, 19:57

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ARI37 on goal, 2 scored
MTL19 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. SchmaltzC0114010022:554:08
M. MaccelliLW0114000021:194:07
N. BjugstadC101520+1018:311:53
A. KerfootC101103+1017:000:06
L. CrouseLW000220+1017:511:47
B. HaytonC000220-1017:230:06
J. ZuckerLW000311-2016:534:03
D. GuentherRW000410-2016:424:01
L. CooleyC000300-1014:561:51
M. CarconeLW000100-109:351:52
L. O'BrienC000040-208:410:00
J. McBainC000120-207:430:00
J. MoserD0112110022:431:43
M. KesselringD011211+1017:190:06
S. DurziD0002030024:094:11
M. DumbaD0001210020:500:06
J. VälimäkiD000100-2014:200:00
T. StecherD000001-2012:380:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Ingram20173.85058:32Loss
K. Vejmelka000–0:00

MTL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. EvansC022310+2019:030:00
J. ArmiaRW112402+1016:500:00
N. SuzukiC101211+1018:410:00
J. RoyRW0111110012:360:00
T. PearsonLW1011100012:320:00
A. NewhookC0111100011:430:00
J. SlafkovskýLW000141-1417:540:00
C. CaufieldRW0001000017:480:00
J. AndersonRW000020+1214:120:00
B. GallagherRW000112+1012:370:00
C. WhiteC0000210011:160:00
J. YlonenRW000010+108:480:00
J. HarrisD112212+2017:340:00
K. GuhleD000126-2024:090:00
M. MathesonD000001-1023:590:00
D. SavardD000112+2020:300:00
A. XhekajD000221+1017:330:00
J. KovacevicD000014+2016:150:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Montembeault38362.94760:00Win
J. Allen000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.