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Game Recap
ARI7
FinalSat, Nov 11, 2023Every game that night
NSH5

ARI beat NSH 7-5 despite fewer good chances: 3.27 expected goals to 3.91. NSH outshot ARI 42 to 25. F. Forsberg led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). C. Ingram stopped 37 of 42.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
ARI2327
NSH3115
  1. 1st 5:13NSHK. Sherwood0.04 xG
  2. 1st 7:11NSHF. Forsberg0.07 xG
  3. 1st 9:58ARIM. Carcone0.02 xG
  4. 1st 14:05ARIT. Stecher0.17 xG
  5. 1st 16:58NSHD. Fabbro0.07 xG
  6. 2nd 3:28NSHR. O'ReillyPP0.08 xG
  7. 2nd 7:19ARIC. KellerPP0.11 xG
  8. 2nd 12:28ARIA. Kerfoot0.40 xG
  9. 2nd 19:07ARIM. Carcone0.02 xG
  10. 3rd 13:57NSHF. Forsberg0.07 xG
  11. 3rd 16:33ARIS. DurziPP0.04 xG
  12. 3rd 18:33ARIN. BjugstadEN0.88 xG

Team Stats

ARINSH
25Shots on goal42
3.27Expected goals3.91
46Shot attempts76
195v5 shots on goal28
2/4Power play1/4
25Hits29
16Blocked shots11
8Penalty minutes8
12Giveaways8
3Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ARI 3.27 xGNSH 3.91 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdNSH goal, 5:13NSH goal, 7:11ARI goal, 9:58ARI goal, 14:05NSH goal, 16:58NSH goal, 3:28ARI goal, 7:19ARI goal, 12:28ARI goal, 19:07NSH goal, 13:57ARI goal, 16:33ARI goal, 18:33

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ARI25 on goal, 7 scored
NSH42 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. KellerRW1235120018:074:24
L. CooleyC033410+1016:474:24
M. CarconeLW202310+1011:100:00
B. HaytonC011100+1020:044:25
N. BjugstadC101111-1017:570:55
A. KerfootC101210+1414:070:04
T. BoydC011001+107:060:00
N. SchmaltzC0000000019:114:30
L. CrouseLW000020-2016:100:57
M. MaccelliLW000100-2015:001:04
J. ZuckerLW000160+1012:440:52
L. O'BrienC000010+109:450:00
S. DurziD112112+1025:074:40
J. MoserD022124+1220:100:00
T. StecherD101320-1219:020:05
M. DumbaD011023+1017:480:00
J. VälimäkiD0000100018:410:55
J. BrownD000233+1014:430:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Ingram42375.88159:46Win
K. Vejmelka000–0:00

NSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
F. ForsbergLW213740+2021:364:59
G. NyquistRW022200+2018:011:22
T. NovakC0221000217:275:02
R. O'ReillyC101501+1221:244:02
L. EvangelistaRW011410-1016:445:03
K. SherwoodLW101130-1010:081:46
C. SmithRW000232-1015:550:00
C. SissonsC000210-1015:460:03
C. GlassC000120-2014:001:32
J. ParssinenC000010-1011:471:26
P. TomasinoRW000200-2010:570:47
L. FoudyC000200008:030:01
R. JosiD022822-3424:295:18
D. FabbroD1122110018:490:00
J. LauzonD011042+1019:100:00
T. BarrieD000200-2018:081:23
A. CarrierD000122+1017:330:00
M. Del GaizoD000051+1016:220:11
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Saros24186.75058:14Loss
K. Lankinen000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamAlexander Kerfoot NSH First game against ARI since he left (his team until Apr 2024)1 G, 2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.