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Game Recap
ARI4
Final/OTSat, Feb 10, 2024Every game that night
NSH5

NSH beat ARI 5-4 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.68 expected goals to 1.92. J. Zucker led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). J. Saros stopped 27 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
ARI11204
NSH11215
  1. 1st 12:28NSHR. O'Reilly0.13 xG
  2. 1st 13:10ARIT. Dermott0.03 xG
  3. 2nd 11:39NSHR. JosiPP0.13 xG
  4. 2nd 18:31ARID. GuentherPP0.13 xG
  5. 3rd 1:45ARIJ. Välimäki0.01 xG
  6. 3rd 4:07ARIN. SchmaltzPP0.14 xG
  7. 3rd 6:00NSHT. NovakPP0.09 xG
  8. 3rd 9:59NSHF. Forsberg0.63 xG
  9. OT 1:36NSHR. McDonagh0.19 xG

Team Stats

ARINSH
31Shots on goal37
1.92Expected goals3.68
48Shot attempts79
255v5 shots on goal25
2/4Power play2/6
26Hits26
27Blocked shots12
10Penalty minutes10
5Giveaways12
3Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ARI 1.92 xGNSH 3.68 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTNSH goal, 12:28ARI goal, 13:10NSH goal, 11:39ARI goal, 18:31ARI goal, 1:45ARI goal, 4:07NSH goal, 6:00NSH goal, 9:59NSH goal, 1:36

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ARI30 on goal, 4 scored
NSH37 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. ZuckerLW0332010013:262:18
C. KellerRW022310-1019:142:27
D. GuentherRW112211+1015:292:26
N. SchmaltzC101310-1017:262:22
A. KerfootC011115+1015:030:03
B. HaytonC0110000212:420:00
N. BjugstadC000021-1216:120:38
M. MaccelliLW000300-1014:330:41
J. McBainC0001200214:170:04
L. CrouseLW000222-1014:030:48
L. CooleyC0001000014:020:45
L. O'BrienC000200+108:100:03
T. DermottD101322+1219:380:03
J. VälimäkiD1012120015:070:41
J. MoserD000352-1026:200:00
M. DumbaD0002550024:320:07
S. DurziD000004-1224:232:26
M. KesselringD000132008:450:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Ingram37325.86561:36OT loss
K. Vejmelka000–0:00

NSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
R. O'ReillyC112603+2024:135:34
G. NyquistRW022200+1022:343:36
F. ForsbergLW112821+3222:005:44
T. NovakC112200-1013:572:16
L. EvangelistaRW011100-107:441:53
C. GlassC000200-1217:584:39
C. SissonsC0002300015:321:44
Y. TreninC0002300014:430:00
C. SmithRW0002300213:540:00
M. McCarronC0000300010:550:00
P. TomasinoRW000001-108:411:12
K. SherwoodLW000050008:290:00
R. JosiD112200+1226:525:21
R. McDonaghD112401+1019:560:39
T. BarrieD011210+1019:143:50
J. LauzonD0000420219:090:15
A. CarrierD0000030018:270:15
L. SchennD000221-2013:260:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Saros31274.87161:34Win
K. Lankinen000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamAlexander Kerfoot NSH First game against ARI since he left (his team until Apr 2024)1 A, 1 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.