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Game Recap
ARI5
Final/OTSat, Feb 11, 2023Every game that night
STL6

STL beat ARI 6-5 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 4.11 expected goals to 2.61. STL outshot ARI 37 to 28. N. Schmaltz led the way with 4 points (1 G, 3 A). J. Binnington stopped 23 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
ARI20305
STL02316
  1. 1st 0:51ARIC. Keller0.02 xG
  2. 1st 9:31ARIN. SchmaltzPP0.15 xG
  3. 2nd 10:20STLB. Saad0.06 xG
  4. 2nd 17:19STLS. Blais0.11 xG
  5. 3rd 1:27STLR. Thomas0.12 xG
  6. 3rd 6:44STLC. Rosen0.13 xG
  7. 3rd 8:33STLC. Rosen0.07 xG
  8. 3rd 9:47ARIC. Keller0.01 xG
  9. 3rd 13:14ARIN. BjugstadPP0.17 xG
  10. 3rd 19:03ARIL. Crouse0.21 xG
  11. OT 1:02STLR. O'Reilly0.19 xG

Team Stats

ARISTL
28Shots on goal37
2.61Expected goals4.11
50Shot attempts67
205v5 shots on goal23
2/4Power play0/5
14Hits22
14Blocked shots13
10Penalty minutes8
5Giveaways2
14Takeaways10

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

ARI 2.61 xGSTL 4.11 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTARI goal, 0:51ARI goal, 9:31STL goal, 10:20STL goal, 17:19STL goal, 1:27STL goal, 6:44STL goal, 8:33ARI goal, 9:47ARI goal, 13:14ARI goal, 19:03STL goal, 1:02

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

ARI27 on goal, 5 scored
STL36 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
N. SchmaltzC134210+2018:362:19
C. KellerRW213400+2020:493:01
N. BjugstadC101300-3020:312:09
L. CrouseLW101640-1020:112:35
B. HaytonC011410+2219:192:44
M. MaccelliLW000002-1016:463:06
T. BoydC000000-3014:092:23
C. FischerRW000301-2014:050:00
N. RitchieLW000110-2013:523:16
J. McBainC0000300011:010:00
Z. KassianRW000010029:090:00
J. VälimäkiD0441030221:523:02
T. StecherD0111020025:390:00
P. NemethD0001030020:580:00
J. BrownD000121-3012:580:00
J. MoserD000100-3212:481:33
V. SoderstromD0000010011:520:52
D. MayoD000011029:090:05
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Vejmelka37316.83860:24OT loss
C. Ingram000–0:00

STL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
P. BuchnevichLW033200+2221:437:06
B. SchennC022112+1022:156:34
J. KyrouRW022400+2018:545:49
R. ThomasC101200+2022:406:23
R. O'ReillyC101301+1217:253:16
B. SaadLW1012000017:133:26
S. BlaisLW1013310211:332:40
A. ToropchenkoRW011130+109:390:00
T. PitlickC011000+107:250:00
I. BarbashevLW000340-1215:383:27
N. AcciariC000240-2013:550:05
N. WalkerLW000020+107:150:00
C. ParaykoD022102+1020:570:20
C. RosenD202411+2017:320:37
N. LeddyD0112110019:030:07
J. FaulkD000511+1023:253:38
T. KrugD0002120019:026:17
T. TuckerD000012+1012:040:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Binnington28235.82161:02Win
T. Greiss000–0:00