Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
BOS3
FinalSat, Nov 12, 2022Every game that night
BUF1

BOS beat BUF 3-1, with the chances close: 3.05 expected goals to 3.07. P. Bergeron led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). K. Kinkaid stopped 30 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BOS0123
BUF1001
  1. 1st 5:17BUFT. ThompsonSH0.29 xG
  2. 2nd 18:51BOSP. BergeronPP0.11 xG
  3. 3rd 12:31BOSJ. Zboril0.02 xG
  4. 3rd 18:11BOSP. Bergeron0.11 xG

Team Stats

BOSBUF
30Shots on goal31
3.05Expected goals3.07
54Shot attempts53
245v5 shots on goal26
1/3Power play0/3
14Hits9
12Blocked shots13
8Penalty minutes6
5Giveaways4
4Takeaways11

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BOS 3.05 xGBUF 3.07 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdBUF goal, 5:17BOS goal, 18:51BOS goal, 12:31BOS goal, 18:11

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BOS29 on goal, 3 scored
BUF29 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BOS Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. MarchandLW0223010017:432:55
P. BergeronC2024100217:312:50
D. PastrnakRW0113000018:372:57
J. DeBruskLW011121-1017:242:17
T. NosekLW011022+1013:421:12
T. HallLW0002200016:001:01
C. CoyleC0002000015:370:00
D. KrejciC000100-1015:301:50
P. ZachaC0002100014:250:55
N. FolignoLW000110+1011:101:50
T. FredericC000110+1010:240:00
C. SmithC000110007:421:02
J. ZborilD101101+1011:360:00
H. LindholmD0001020026:131:48
C. McAvoyD0003010421:551:27
C. CliftonD000022+1220:011:12
B. CarloD000111+2018:230:00
M. GrzelcykD0003010018:131:29
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Kinkaid31301.96859:54Win
L. Ullmark000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC1014000017:213:45
C. MittelstadtC0000200021:042:19
A. TuchRW0002000018:253:43
V. OlofssonLW0004010017:303:24
D. CozensC000121-1216:022:44
J. SkinnerLW000310-1015:563:15
P. KrebsC0002100014:150:00
J. PeterkaRW000200-1014:092:14
J. QuinnRW000300-1013:092:24
R. AsplundC0000010010:330:01
V. HinostrozaC0003010010:160:00
Z. GirgensonsC0000010010:100:00
O. PowerD0002030229:352:04
R. DahlinD000312+1028:084:03
L. PilutD000101-1017:050:00
I. LyubushkinD0000000215:530:00
J. BrysonD000012-2013:050:04
C. FitzgeraldD0001100010:270:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Anderson30273.90060:00Loss
E. Comrie000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.