Game Recap: BOS 5, CHI 2, January 17, 2026

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

BOS5

FinalSat, Jan 17, 2026Every game that night

CHI2

BOS beat CHI 5-2, and the chances backed it up: 2.75 expected goals to 1.72. M. Lohrei led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). C. Bedard had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.9. J. Korpisalo stopped 22 of 24.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
BOS	0	3	2	5
CHI	2	0	0	2

1st 16:14CHIR. Greene0.16 xG
1st 18:14CHIW. Kaiser0.08 xG
2nd 1:55BOSC. McAvoy0.17 xG
2nd 14:51BOSM. Lohrei0.11 xG
2nd 19:14BOSV. Arvidsson0.19 xG
3rd 9:01BOSM. LohreiPP0.04 xG
3rd 11:02BOSM. Khusnutdinov0.26 xG

Team Stats

BOSCHI

23Shots on goal24

2.75Expected goals1.72

48Shot attempts56

215v5 shots on goal16

1/1Power play0/1

18Hits24

11Blocked shots10

2Penalty minutes2

16Giveaways16

8Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BOS 2.75 xGCHI 1.72 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BOS23 on goal, 5 scored

CHI23 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
D. Pastrnak	RW	0	2	2	1	0	0	+2	0	20:47	1:26
E. Lindholm	C	0	2	2	1	1	3	+2	0	18:28	0:55
P. Zacha	C	0	2	2	3	0	1	+2	0	16:08	0:54
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	2	2	1	0	1	+1	0	14:43	0:35
V. Arvidsson	LW	1	0	1	4	1	0	+2	0	14:46	0:32
M. Khusnutdinov	C	1	0	1	1	1	1	+1	0	14:21	0:00
F. Minten	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	-1	0	14:17	0:31
M. Geekie	C	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	17:29	0:51
S. Kuraly	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	-1	0	13:04	0:00
T. Jeannot	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	12:18	0:00
A. Steeves	C	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	11:26	0:00
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	0	11:17	0:00
M. Lohrei	D	2	0	2	3	1	0	0	0	17:21	0:33
C. McAvoy	D	1	0	1	1	1	0	+3	0	21:32	0:53
H. Lindholm	D	0	1	1	0	0	0	-1	0	20:03	0:00
H. Jokiharju	D	0	0	0	0	2	2	-1	0	23:07	0:00
N. Zadorov	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	2	21:31	0:00
J. Aspirot	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	+3	0	15:22	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Korpisalo	24	22	2	.917	60:00	Win
J. Swayman	0	0	0	–	0:00

CHI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. Bedard	C	0	1	1	6	0	0	-1	0	20:48	2:00
A. Burakovsky	LW	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	19:39	2:00
R. Greene	C	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	18:51	2:00
N. Foligno	LW	0	1	1	0	3	1	0	0	10:33	0:00
T. Bertuzzi	LW	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	19:56	2:00
I. Mikheyev	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	16:33	0:00
J. Dickinson	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	15:37	0:00
R. Donato	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	15:14	0:00
O. Moore	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	0	13:50	0:00
N. Lardis	LW	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	0	13:22	0:00
L. Slaggert	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	10:39	0:00
C. Dach	C	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	10:00	0:00
W. Kaiser	D	1	0	1	1	2	0	-1	0	22:48	0:00
A. Levshunov	D	0	0	0	2	2	1	-1	2	25:42	2:00
L. Crevier	D	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	18:44	0:00
M. Grzelcyk	D	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	18:19	0:00
A. Vlasic	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	-1	0	17:05	0:00
C. Murphy	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	0	15:26	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
A. Soderblom	23	18	5	.783	55:28	Loss
S. Knight	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

BOS

Line 1E. Lindholm14:24D. Pastrnak16:30M. Khusnutdinov11:37

Line 2P. Zacha14:04C. Mittelstadt13:20V. Arvidsson12:45

Line 3S. Kuraly12:26T. Jeannot11:47M. Kastelic10:39

Line 4A. Steeves11:26F. Minten12:11M. Geekie14:38

Pair 1N. Zadorov19:32H. Jokiharju20:28

Pair 2H. Lindholm16:02M. Lohrei15:22

Pair 3C. McAvoy17:37J. Aspirot15:22

CHI

Line 1J. Dickinson14:35I. Mikheyev15:32T. Bertuzzi14:05

Line 2A. Burakovsky13:48R. Greene13:26C. Bedard14:57

Line 3N. Lardis12:41O. Moore13:09R. Donato13:44

Line 4N. Foligno9:52L. Slaggert10:14C. Dach10:00

Pair 1A. Levshunov20:37W. Kaiser20:49

Pair 2A. Vlasic16:11L. Crevier16:44

Pair 3C. Murphy14:33M. Grzelcyk15:13

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	BOS 3.3, CHI 2.9	BOS 5, CHI 2
Total goals	6.2	7
Shots on goal	BOS 27.7, CHI 26.8	BOS 23, CHI 24
Win chance	BOS 56%	BOS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.7	1	1.26	2	41%	0
CHI C. Bedard	2.9	6	0.94	1	28%	0
BOS V. Arvidsson	2.5	4	0.59	1	22%	1
CHI T. Bertuzzi	2.2	1	0.69	0	28%	0
BOS M. Geekie	2.0	2	0.71	0	28%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	1.9	1	0.65	2	22%	0
CHI R. Donato	1.8	1	0.54	0	22%	0
CHI A. Burakovsky	1.8	0	0.68	1	21%	0
CHI I. Mikheyev	1.8	1	0.43	0	21%	0
BOS H. Lindholm	1.7	0	0.43	1	9%	0
BOS C. McAvoy	1.7	1	0.65	1	12%	1
CHI N. Lardis	1.7	0	0.30	0	16%	0
CHI R. Greene	1.6	2	0.42	1	15%	1
CHI A. Levshunov	1.5	2	0.48	0	5%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.5	0	0.30	0	13%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.5	3	0.60	2	19%	0
CHI L. Crevier	1.4	2	0.26	0	7%	0
BOS F. Minten	1.4	1	0.43	1	19%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.4	1	0.35	0	10%	0
BOS A. Steeves	1.3	1	0.39	0	17%	0
BOS M. Kastelic	1.3	1	0.28	0	13%	0
CHI O. Moore	1.3	1	0.40	0	13%	0
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.3	1	0.52	2	17%	0
CHI J. Dickinson	1.2	1	0.31	0	15%	0
CHI N. Foligno	1.2	0	0.40	1	14%	0
BOS T. Jeannot	1.1	2	0.30	0	12%	0
CHI L. Slaggert	1.1	1	0.25	0	10%	0
CHI W. Kaiser	1.1	1	0.22	1	6%	1
BOS M. Lohrei	1.1	3	0.39	2	8%	2
BOS H. Jokiharju	1.1	0	0.25	0	4%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	1.0	1	0.39	1	15%	1
CHI M. Grzelcyk	1.0	2	0.32	0	2%	0
CHI C. Murphy	1.0	1	0.21	0	4%	0
CHI C. Dach	1.0	0	0.22	0	8%	0
CHI A. Vlasic	1.0	2	0.23	0	3%	0
BOS J. Aspirot	0.8	0	0.16	0	7%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.