Game Recap: BOS 4, DET 5, December 2, 2025

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Game Recap

BOS4

FinalTue, Dec 2, 2025Every game that night

DET5

DET beat BOS 5-4, with the chances close: 2.97 expected goals to 2.76. M. Seider led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). N. Danielson had 5 shots on goal against our projection of 1.1. J. Gibson stopped 34 of 38.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
BOS	0	2	2	4
DET	2	2	1	5

1st 6:52DETJ. van Riemsdyk0.17 xG
1st 13:49DETM. Seider0.02 xG
2nd 1:35DETA. DeBrincat0.13 xG
2nd 11:09BOSJ. Aspirot0.05 xG
2nd 15:38BOSA. Steeves0.29 xG
2nd 16:15DETB. Chiarot0.23 xG
3rd 3:55DETL. RaymondPP0.20 xG
3rd 14:57BOSM. Khusnutdinov0.11 xG
3rd 19:48BOSA. Steeves0.05 xG

Team Stats

BOSDET

38Shots on goal32

2.76Expected goals2.97

67Shot attempts61

285v5 shots on goal28

0/2Power play1/3

27Hits18

15Blocked shots20

28Penalty minutes6

14Giveaways17

5Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BOS 2.76 xGDET 2.97 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BOS36 on goal, 4 scored

DET32 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Geekie	C	0	2	2	5	2	0	+1	0	18:42	1:51
A. Steeves	C	2	0	2	2	3	0	0	0	16:52	0:25
P. Zacha	C	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	16:00	1:43
M. Khusnutdinov	C	1	0	1	2	1	0	+2	0	14:32	0:45
T. Jeannot	LW	0	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	12:53	0:00
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	-1	0	17:36	2:13
E. Lindholm	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	16:30	1:18
V. Arvidsson	LW	0	0	0	4	0	0	-1	0	15:20	1:20
F. Minten	C	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	15:12	0:10
M. Eyssimont	C	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	13:56	0:47
S. Kuraly	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	13:51	0:00
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	2	6	1	0	12	12:45	0:00
H. Lindholm	D	0	3	3	2	0	1	+1	2	24:59	1:52
J. Aspirot	D	1	0	1	2	1	4	+2	0	21:14	0:00
N. Zadorov	D	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	14	20:42	0:00
A. Peeke	D	0	0	0	2	1	4	-4	0	23:10	0:00
M. Lohrei	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	21:53	0:46
M. Callahan	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2:51	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Swayman	23	18	5	.783	43:55	Loss
J. Korpisalo	9	9	0	1.000	12:36

DET Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
L. Raymond	LW	1	1	2	3	1	0	0	0	18:57	2:27
A. DeBrincat	RW	1	1	2	3	2	0	0	0	15:26	2:30
P. Kane	RW	0	2	2	3	0	1	0	0	15:04	2:24
D. Larkin	C	0	1	1	3	1	2	-1	0	19:34	2:23
J. van Riemsdyk	LW	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	14:09	0:42
E. Finnie	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	+1	0	17:44	0:34
A. Copp	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	15:43	0:27
J. Compher	LW	0	0	0	2	0	0	+1	0	15:10	0:12
M. Kasper	C	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	13:06	0:00
E. Soderblom	LW	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	12:49	0:12
N. Danielson	C	0	0	0	5	1	1	0	0	11:37	0:33
M. Rasmussen	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	0	9:22	0:00
M. Seider	D	1	2	3	1	0	4	+1	4	22:55	1:09
B. Chiarot	D	1	0	1	3	0	2	0	0	19:38	0:00
A. Johansson	D	0	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	17:15	0:12
S. Edvinsson	D	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	23:08	0:50
A. Sandin-Pellikka	D	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	0	18:03	1:10
J. Bernard-Docker	D	0	0	0	2	2	6	0	0	16:20	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Gibson	38	34	4	.895	60:00	Win
C. Talbot	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

BOS

Line 1E. Lindholm12:58M. Geekie13:25A. Steeves12:50

Line 2V. Arvidsson12:47C. Mittelstadt13:23P. Zacha12:03

Line 3T. Jeannot11:43F. Minten12:23M. Kastelic12:02

Line 4S. Kuraly11:32M. Khusnutdinov11:21M. Eyssimont11:35

Pair 1N. Zadorov20:11J. Aspirot19:57

Pair 2H. Lindholm18:24A. Peeke18:28

Pair 3M. Lohrei18:57M. Callahan2:51

DET

Line 1D. Larkin13:59L. Raymond13:59E. Finnie15:20

Line 2J. Riemsdyk12:09J. Compher12:00M. Rasmussen8:51

Line 3P. Kane12:40A. DeBrincat11:40A. Copp11:47

Line 4M. Kasper11:44N. Danielson11:04E. Soderblom12:37

Pair 1M. Seider18:25S. Edvinsson18:47

Pair 2B. Chiarot16:16A. Sandin-Pellikka15:38

Pair 3J. Bernard-Docker15:12A. Johansson14:42

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamViktor Arvidsson DET First game against BOS since he left (his team until Apr 2026)4 SOG
BirthdayElias Lindholm BOS Turns 31 that day2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	BOS 2.9, DET 3.3	BOS 4, DET 5
Total goals	6.2	9
Shots on goal	BOS 24.6, DET 32.0	BOS 38, DET 32
Win chance	DET 58%	DET won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DET A. DeBrincat	3.7	3	0.96	2	34%	1
DET D. Larkin	3.3	3	1.10	1	37%	0
DET P. Kane	2.8	3	0.87	2	25%	0
DET L. Raymond	2.6	3	1.02	2	29%	1
BOS V. Arvidsson	2.4	4	0.63	0	24%	0
DET M. Seider	2.1	1	0.57	3	8%	1
BOS M. Geekie	2.1	5	0.80	2	31%	0
BOS M. Eyssimont	1.9	4	0.31	0	13%	0
DET E. Finnie	1.8	1	0.47	0	18%	0
BOS H. Lindholm	1.6	2	0.49	3	9%	0
DET M. Kasper	1.6	0	0.33	0	16%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	1.6	2	0.59	0	21%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.5	1	0.66	1	20%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.4	1	0.36	1	10%	0
BOS M. Kastelic	1.4	2	0.32	0	15%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.4	2	0.28	0	13%	0
DET J. Riemsdyk	1.3	2	0.42	1	16%	1
BOS A. Steeves	1.3	2	0.35	2	16%	2
DET B. Chiarot	1.3	3	0.24	1	7%	1
BOS F. Minten	1.3	3	0.32	0	14%	0
DET E. Soderblom	1.3	1	0.32	0	14%	0
DET M. Rasmussen	1.2	0	0.35	0	14%	0
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.2	2	0.59	0	19%	0
DET S. Edvinsson	1.2	0	0.37	0	9%	0
DET J. Compher	1.2	2	0.37	0	14%	0
BOS T. Jeannot	1.2	1	0.32	1	14%	0
DET A. Copp	1.2	1	0.39	0	13%	0
DET A. Sandin-Pellikka	1.1	2	0.30	0	7%	0
DET N. Danielson	1.1	5	0.30	0	10%	0
BOS A. Peeke	1.1	2	0.22	0	4%	0
DET J. Bernard-Docker	0.9	2	0.16	0	4%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	0.8	0	0.32	0	5%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	0.8	2	0.28	1	12%	1
BOS J. Aspirot	0.8	2	0.10	1	4%	1
DET A. Johansson	0.8	0	0.14	1	4%	0
BOS M. Callahan	0.6	1	0.11	0	5%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.