Game Recap: BOS 4, DET 2, March 21, 2026

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Game Recap

BOS4

FinalSat, Mar 21, 2026Every game that night

DET2

BOS beat DET 4-2, and the chances backed it up: 4.99 expected goals to 4.14. DET outshot BOS 44 to 27. M. Geekie led the way with 3 points (0 G, 3 A). P. Kane had 7 shots on goal against our projection of 2.8. J. Swayman stopped 42 of 44.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
BOS	0	1	3	4
DET	0	1	1	2

2nd 3:35DETL. RaymondPP0.16 xG
2nd 5:07BOSD. PastrnakPP0.19 xG
3rd 4:06DETA. DeBrincat0.02 xG
3rd 6:22BOSE. Lindholm0.06 xG
3rd 9:42BOSN. Zadorov0.03 xG
3rd 18:08BOSM. KhusnutdinovEN0.63 xG

Team Stats

BOSDET

27Shots on goal44

4.99Expected goals4.14

50Shot attempts68

155v5 shots on goal28

1/3Power play1/4

21Hits22

12Blocked shots13

8Penalty minutes6

16Giveaways9

4Takeaways3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BOS 4.99 xGDET 4.14 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BOS26 on goal, 4 scored

DET44 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Geekie	C	0	3	3	1	0	0	+2	0	14:07	2:36
D. Pastrnak	RW	1	1	2	2	0	0	+2	0	21:27	3:24
E. Lindholm	C	1	1	2	4	0	1	+2	0	15:40	2:35
M. Khusnutdinov	C	1	0	1	2	0	0	+2	0	16:33	0:00
F. Minten	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	21:09	1:35
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	17:09	1:26
P. Zacha	C	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	16:29	2:32
V. Arvidsson	LW	0	0	0	4	1	2	0	0	16:03	1:35
L. Reichel	LW	0	0	0	1	1	0	+1	0	10:53	0:47
S. Kuraly	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	10:14	0:01
T. Jeannot	LW	0	0	0	0	5	2	-1	0	8:48	0:00
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	3	2	0	-1	2	8:28	0:00
C. McAvoy	D	0	2	2	1	6	1	+2	0	27:05	2:43
N. Zadorov	D	1	0	1	1	2	4	+2	0	21:52	0:00
M. Lohrei	D	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	13:51	1:25
A. Peeke	D	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	18:11	0:00
H. Lindholm	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	18:06	0:00
J. Aspirot	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	17:24	0:01

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Swayman	44	42	2	.955	60:00	Win
J. Korpisalo	0	0	0	–	0:00

DET Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
L. Raymond	LW	1	0	1	4	1	1	-3	0	22:58	5:05
A. DeBrincat	RW	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	21:48	5:04
P. Kane	RW	0	1	1	7	1	0	0	0	21:42	5:03
A. Copp	C	0	1	1	3	0	1	-1	0	21:16	4:34
J. Compher	LW	0	0	0	2	0	1	+1	0	19:54	1:57
D. Perron	LW	0	0	0	2	2	0	-1	2	17:02	1:28
E. Finnie	C	0	0	0	4	0	0	-1	0	16:59	1:24
M. Kasper	C	0	0	0	2	5	1	-1	0	14:34	0:01
M. Appleton	C	0	0	0	3	2	0	-1	2	12:43	0:00
J. van Riemsdyk	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	0	9:17	1:26
S. Dries	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	4:26	0:00
D. Shine	RW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3:54	0:00
M. Seider	D	0	1	1	3	1	3	0	2	25:19	5:03
B. Chiarot	D	0	0	0	2	2	1	-2	0	23:41	0:01
J. Faulk	D	0	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	20:53	1:27
S. Edvinsson	D	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	18:04	0:00
A. Johansson	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	13:38	0:02
J. Bernard-Docker	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	9:40	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Gibson	26	23	3	.885	57:40	Loss
C. Talbot	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

BOS

Line 1D. Pastrnak16:58F. Minten16:47M. Khusnutdinov14:34

Line 2V. Arvidsson13:11C. Mittelstadt13:54P. Zacha12:35

Line 3M. Geekie11:31L. Reichel10:06E. Lindholm9:50

Line 4S. Kuraly7:10T. Jeannot7:21M. Kastelic6:27

Pair 1J. Aspirot17:22C. McAvoy17:57

Pair 2N. Zadorov16:47A. Peeke15:38

Pair 3H. Lindholm14:23M. Lohrei12:24

DET

Line 1D. Perron15:34L. Raymond15:33E. Finnie13:58

Line 2P. Kane14:19A. DeBrincat14:20J. Compher15:47

Line 3A. Copp12:23M. Kasper12:53M. Appleton12:19

Line 4J. Riemsdyk5:31D. Shine3:54S. Dries4:26

Pair 1B. Chiarot21:32J. Faulk17:47

Pair 2M. Seider16:39S. Edvinsson16:02

Pair 3J. Bernard-Docker9:38A. Johansson12:20

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamViktor Arvidsson DET First game against BOS since he left (his team until Apr 2026)4 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	BOS 3.0, DET 3.1	BOS 4, DET 2
Total goals	6.1	6
Shots on goal	BOS 26.3, DET 29.2	BOS 27, DET 44
Win chance	DET 51%	BOS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
DET A. DeBrincat	3.6	7	1.01	1	36%	1
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.6	2	1.25	2	41%	1
DET P. Kane	2.8	7	0.87	1	26%	0
BOS V. Arvidsson	2.4	4	0.61	0	23%	0
DET L. Raymond	2.3	4	0.92	1	27%	1
DET M. Seider	2.1	3	0.67	1	11%	0
BOS M. Geekie	2.0	1	0.68	3	29%	0
DET M. Kasper	2.0	2	0.40	0	18%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	1.8	4	0.62	2	22%	1
DET J. Faulk	1.7	1	0.48	0	10%	0
BOS C. McAvoy	1.6	1	0.59	2	11%	0
BOS F. Minten	1.6	2	0.47	0	21%	0
DET J. Compher	1.6	2	0.53	0	20%	0
DET D. Perron	1.6	2	0.49	0	20%	0
DET A. Copp	1.6	3	0.55	1	16%	0
DET E. Finnie	1.6	4	0.37	0	16%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.5	3	0.61	0	20%	0
BOS H. Lindholm	1.4	0	0.33	0	6%	0
DET J. Riemsdyk	1.3	2	0.44	0	16%	0
DET B. Chiarot	1.3	2	0.20	0	6%	0
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.2	0	0.52	0	17%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	1.2	0	0.38	1	9%	0
DET S. Edvinsson	1.2	1	0.38	0	11%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.2	1	0.22	0	10%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.2	1	0.23	1	6%	1
DET S. Dries	1.2	0	0.20	0	12%	0
DET M. Appleton	1.1	3	0.27	0	10%	0
BOS M. Kastelic	1.1	3	0.22	0	11%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	1.0	2	0.36	1	14%	1
BOS T. Jeannot	0.9	0	0.24	0	11%	0
BOS A. Peeke	0.9	1	0.18	0	4%	0
BOS L. Reichel	0.9	1	0.26	0	10%	0
BOS J. Aspirot	0.8	1	0.22	0	5%	0
DET A. Johansson	0.7	0	0.16	0	4%	0
DET J. Bernard-Docker	0.7	0	0.14	0	3%	0
DET D. Shine	0.7	1	0.17	0	9%	0

Shots on goal: 20 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.