Game Recap: BOS 6, EDM 2, December 31, 2025

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Game Recap

BOS6

FinalWed, Dec 31, 2025Every game that night

EDM2

BOS beat EDM 6-2 despite fewer good chances: 2.34 expected goals to 4.07. D. Pastrnak led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). C. McDavid had 9 shots on goal against our projection of 3.3. J. Swayman stopped 34 of 36.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
BOS	2	2	2	6
EDM	1	0	1	2

1st 7:28BOSD. PastrnakPP0.04 xG
1st 18:13BOSC. Mittelstadt0.07 xG
1st 19:19EDMZ. Hyman0.08 xG
2nd 7:05BOSH. Lindholm0.02 xG
2nd 18:19BOSJ. Aspirot0.08 xG
3rd 4:20BOSE. Lindholm0.05 xG
3rd 7:22EDMJ. Roslovic0.03 xG
3rd 14:34BOSD. Pastrnak0.10 xG

Team Stats

BOSEDM

29Shots on goal36

2.34Expected goals4.07

55Shot attempts60

205v5 shots on goal26

1/3Power play0/5

14Hits18

13Blocked shots14

47Penalty minutes41

13Giveaways16

6Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BOS 2.34 xGEDM 4.07 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BOS29 on goal, 6 scored

EDM36 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
D. Pastrnak	RW	2	1	3	6	0	0	+1	2	20:03	2:10
F. Minten	C	0	2	2	1	1	0	+3	2	17:51	0:56
E. Lindholm	C	1	1	2	2	0	0	0	2	17:34	2:12
V. Arvidsson	LW	0	2	2	0	0	0	+2	0	13:13	0:54
M. Geekie	C	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	2	16:05	2:12
M. Khusnutdinov	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	15:10	0:00
C. Mittelstadt	C	1	0	1	3	0	0	+2	0	13:40	0:55
A. Steeves	C	0	1	1	0	3	2	+1	0	10:56	0:54
P. Zacha	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	+1	0	14:46	2:11
S. Kuraly	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	-1	10	12:59	0:00
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	12	10:33	0:00
M. Eyssimont	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	7:57	0:00
H. Lindholm	D	1	1	2	5	0	2	+2	0	21:20	0:48
C. McAvoy	D	0	1	1	1	1	4	0	2	22:30	2:18
J. Aspirot	D	1	0	1	3	0	0	+2	5	16:11	0:00
N. Zadorov	D	0	0	0	1	2	3	0	10	23:18	0:00
A. Peeke	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	19:33	0:00
M. Lohrei	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	+1	0	14:21	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Swayman	36	34	2	.944	60:00	Win
J. Korpisalo	0	0	0	–	0:00

EDM Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
C. McDavid	C	0	1	1	9	0	1	-1	0	24:35	7:24
L. Draisaitl	C	0	1	1	8	0	0	-2	0	23:21	7:26
Z. Hyman	LW	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	2	21:32	7:23
J. Roslovic	C	1	0	1	3	0	1	0	0	16:01	1:43
R. Nugent-Hopkins	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	19:06	7:05
V. Podkolzin	RW	0	0	0	1	4	0	-3	0	15:55	0:00
A. Henrique	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	12:17	1:54
M. Savoie	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	11:17	1:40
M. Janmark	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	10	11:05	0:00
T. Frederic	C	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	10:51	0:00
A. Mangiapane	LW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	12	7:31	0:00
M. Jones	LW	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	5	7:21	0:00
D. Nurse	D	0	1	1	1	2	2	0	10	21:27	1:26
E. Bouchard	D	0	0	0	1	1	2	-2	2	27:47	7:37
M. Ekholm	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	-2	0	22:58	1:37
S. Stastney	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	15:27	0:00
T. Emberson	D	0	0	0	0	1	2	-1	0	14:02	0:00
A. Regula	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	-2	0	10:56	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
C. Ingram	29	23	6	.793	59:34	Loss
C. Pickard	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

BOS

Line 1D. Pastrnak16:42F. Minten13:15M. Khusnutdinov12:21

Line 2E. Lindholm11:40M. Geekie12:05A. Steeves9:41

Line 3C. Mittelstadt11:59V. Arvidsson11:45P. Zacha12:04

Line 4S. Kuraly7:33M. Eyssimont7:57M. Kastelic6:02

Pair 1N. Zadorov16:26C. McAvoy14:23

Pair 2H. Lindholm14:30J. Aspirot15:09

Pair 3A. Peeke14:27M. Lohrei14:21

EDM

Line 1Z. Hyman14:06C. McDavid15:06R. Nugent-Hopkins11:00

Line 2L. Draisaitl14:34V. Podkolzin13:49A. Mangiapane7:31

Line 3T. Frederic10:51M. Jones7:21A. Henrique8:48

Line 4M. Savoie8:11M. Janmark10:24J. Roslovic11:41

Pair 1M. Ekholm17:55E. Bouchard17:16

Pair 2S. Stastney13:20T. Emberson11:15

Pair 3D. Nurse19:05A. Regula10:07

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamTrent Frederic EDM Faces BOS, his team until Feb 20250 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	BOS 2.9, EDM 3.3	BOS 6, EDM 2
Total goals	6.2	8
Shots on goal	BOS 25.8, EDM 30.5	BOS 29, EDM 36
Win chance	EDM 57%	BOS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.3	6	1.12	3	38%	2
EDM C. McDavid	3.3	9	1.66	1	38%	0
EDM Z. Hyman	3.0	4	0.91	1	38%	1
EDM E. Bouchard	2.9	1	1.07	0	18%	0
EDM L. Draisaitl	2.9	8	1.43	1	43%	0
BOS V. Arvidsson	2.3	0	0.54	2	21%	0
BOS M. Geekie	2.1	1	0.75	1	29%	0
EDM D. Nurse	2.0	1	0.40	1	9%	0
EDM R. Nugent-Hopkins	2.0	2	0.87	0	25%	0
EDM J. Roslovic	1.9	3	0.54	1	20%	1
EDM M. Ekholm	1.9	1	0.48	0	9%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	1.8	2	0.59	2	20%	1
BOS M. Eyssimont	1.6	0	0.24	0	10%	0
EDM V. Podkolzin	1.6	1	0.42	0	16%	0
BOS C. McAvoy	1.5	1	0.53	1	9%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.5	1	0.59	0	19%	0
BOS H. Lindholm	1.4	5	0.36	2	7%	1
EDM A. Henrique	1.3	1	0.33	0	16%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.3	1	0.25	0	11%	0
EDM M. Savoie	1.3	0	0.31	0	14%	0
BOS A. Steeves	1.2	0	0.35	1	17%	0
BOS M. Kastelic	1.2	2	0.26	0	12%	0
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.2	3	0.51	1	17%	1
BOS F. Minten	1.2	1	0.32	2	15%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.1	1	0.29	0	7%	0
BOS A. Peeke	1.0	0	0.20	0	4%	0
EDM M. Jones	1.0	1	0.19	0	8%	0
EDM S. Stastney	1.0	1	0.24	0	4%	0
EDM A. Mangiapane	1.0	2	0.30	0	14%	0
EDM T. Frederic	0.9	0	0.20	0	11%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	0.9	0	0.25	1	10%	0
EDM A. Regula	0.8	0	0.14	0	3%	0
EDM M. Janmark	0.8	1	0.26	0	9%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	0.7	2	0.26	0	4%	0
EDM T. Emberson	0.7	0	0.20	0	3%	0
BOS J. Aspirot	0.6	3	0.10	1	4%	1

Shots on goal: 19 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.