Game Recap: BOS 2, LAK 7, March 23, 2025

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

BOS2

FinalSun, Mar 23, 2025Every game that night

LAK7

LAK beat BOS 7-2, and the chances backed it up: 3.20 expected goals to 1.37. LAK outshot BOS 23 to 13. T. Jeannot led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). D. Kuemper stopped 11 of 13.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
BOS	1	1	0	2
LAK	2	2	3	7

1st 0:19BOSE. Lindholm0.16 xG
1st 2:43LAKA. Kopitar0.17 xG
1st 19:31LAKW. Foegele0.15 xG
2nd 2:07BOSM. Geekie0.19 xG
2nd 8:46LAKD. Doughty0.08 xG
2nd 17:38LAKA. Kuzmenko0.04 xG
3rd 4:05LAKQ. Byfield0.13 xG
3rd 9:20LAKT. Jeannot0.06 xG
3rd 16:03LAKS. Helenius0.06 xG

Team Stats

BOSLAK

13Shots on goal23

1.37Expected goals3.20

34Shot attempts51

95v5 shots on goal23

0/1Power play0/0

24Hits13

8Blocked shots12

4Penalty minutes4

15Giveaways15

3Takeaways4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BOS 1.37 xGLAK 3.20 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BOS13 on goal, 2 scored

LAK23 on goal, 7 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
P. Zacha	C	0	1	1	0	3	0	-2	0	16:51	0:52
M. Geekie	C	1	0	1	1	1	0	-2	2	15:28	1:07
E. Lindholm	C	1	0	1	1	1	1	-1	0	15:13	1:08
C. Koepke	LW	0	1	1	0	1	0	-1	0	14:17	0:00
D. Pastrnak	RW	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	20:00	1:36
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	18:31	1:36
M. Khusnutdinov	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	15:28	0:21
F. Lysell	RW	0	0	0	2	3	0	-1	0	14:45	0:24
V. Lettieri	C	0	0	0	2	3	0	-1	0	13:41	0:53
J. Lauko	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	-3	0	12:44	0:00
J. Beecher	C	0	0	0	0	1	1	-2	0	11:53	0:00
P. Brown	C	0	0	0	1	3	0	-2	0	10:41	0:00
M. Lohrei	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	-3	0	20:54	1:36
H. Jokiharju	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	-3	0	20:27	0:24
P. Wotherspoon	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	20:12	0:00
A. Peeke	D	0	0	0	1	3	3	-3	0	19:58	0:00
N. Zadorov	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	19:20	0:03
M. Callahan	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	17:37	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Swayman	23	16	7	.696	60:00	Loss
J. Korpisalo	0	0	0	–	0:00

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
Q. Byfield	RW	1	1	2	3	0	0	+2	0	17:38	0:00
A. Kempe	RW	0	2	2	1	1	0	+1	0	15:11	0:00
T. Jeannot	LW	1	1	2	3	1	0	+2	0	10:47	0:00
P. Danault	C	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	17:53	0:00
W. Foegele	LW	1	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	17:47	0:00
K. Fiala	LW	0	1	1	1	0	0	+2	0	17:22	0:00
A. Laferriere	RW	0	1	1	2	1	1	+2	0	17:09	0:00
A. Kopitar	C	1	0	1	1	0	0	+1	0	14:23	0:00
T. Lewis	C	0	1	1	0	3	1	0	0	14:13	0:00
A. Kuzmenko	LW	1	0	1	2	0	0	+1	0	12:31	0:00
S. Helenius	C	1	0	1	1	2	0	+2	0	9:54	0:00
A. Turcotte	C	0	0	0	1	1	0	+2	0	10:39	0:00
J. Edmundson	D	0	2	2	0	0	3	+3	0	22:49	0:00
B. Clarke	D	0	2	2	1	0	2	+2	2	17:33	0:00
D. Doughty	D	1	0	1	1	0	2	+2	0	20:19	0:00
M. Anderson	D	0	1	1	2	1	0	+2	2	20:04	0:00
J. Spence	D	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	16:38	0:00
V. Gavrikov	D	0	0	0	2	0	1	+1	0	23:10	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Kuemper	13	11	2	.846	60:00	Win
D. Rittich	0	0	0	–	0:00

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamTanner Jeannot BOS Faces LAK, his team until Mar 20251 G, 1 A, 3 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	BOS 2.6, LAK 3.1	BOS 2, LAK 7
Total goals	5.7	9
Shots on goal	BOS 23.9, LAK 29.6	BOS 13, LAK 23
Win chance	LAK 58%	LAK won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.6	1	1.04	0	39%	0
LAK A. Kempe	2.7	1	0.80	2	32%	0
LAK K. Fiala	2.6	1	0.78	1	28%	0
LAK W. Foegele	2.3	2	0.53	1	21%	1
LAK A. Laferriere	2.1	2	0.41	1	18%	0
LAK Q. Byfield	1.9	3	0.63	2	20%	1
BOS M. Geekie	1.9	1	0.54	1	24%	1
LAK P. Danault	1.7	0	0.54	1	18%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	1.6	1	0.47	1	19%	1
LAK B. Clarke	1.5	1	0.38	2	6%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.5	0	0.57	1	19%	0
LAK A. Kuzmenko	1.4	2	0.60	1	25%	1
LAK D. Doughty	1.4	1	0.56	1	11%	1
BOS V. Lettieri	1.3	2	0.24	0	13%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.3	1	0.73	1	22%	1
BOS N. Zadorov	1.3	0	0.26	0	9%	0
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.2	1	0.50	0	16%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	1.2	0	0.37	0	7%	0
LAK V. Gavrikov	1.2	2	0.32	0	6%	0
BOS C. Koepke	1.2	0	0.23	1	12%	0
LAK J. Edmundson	1.1	0	0.22	2	5%	0
LAK M. Anderson	1.1	2	0.28	1	6%	0
BOS H. Jokiharju	1.0	1	0.20	0	5%	0
BOS A. Peeke	1.0	1	0.20	0	4%	0
LAK T. Lewis	1.0	0	0.16	1	7%	0
LAK J. Spence	0.9	0	0.29	1	3%	0
LAK A. Turcotte	0.9	1	0.25	0	9%	0
LAK T. Jeannot	0.8	3	0.20	2	10%	1
BOS J. Lauko	0.8	0	0.19	0	8%	0
BOS P. Brown	0.7	1	0.15	0	6%	0
BOS P. Wotherspoon	0.7	2	0.14	0	2%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	0.6	0	0.19	0	9%	0
LAK S. Helenius	0.6	1	0.15	1	7%	1
BOS J. Beecher	0.6	0	0.15	0	8%	0
BOS M. Callahan	0.5	0	0.07	0	3%	0

Shots on goal: 23 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.4 fewer than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.