Game Recap: BOS 2, LAK 1 (OT), November 21, 2025

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Game Recap

BOS2

Final/OTFri, Nov 21, 2025Every game that night

LAK1

BOS beat LAK 2-1 in overtime, with the chances close: 2.32 expected goals to 2.65. M. Geekie led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Kopitar had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.4. J. Swayman stopped 31 of 32.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
BOS	0	0	1	1	2
LAK	0	0	1	0	1

3rd 8:01BOSM. Geekie0.05 xG
3rd 13:03LAKJ. ArmiaSH0.26 xG
OT 2:27BOSM. Geekie0.08 xG

Team Stats

BOSLAK

26Shots on goal32

2.32Expected goals2.65

60Shot attempts75

185v5 shots on goal25

0/2Power play0/5

28Hits12

23Blocked shots12

20Penalty minutes4

13Giveaways13

4Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BOS 2.32 xGLAK 2.65 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BOS25 on goal, 2 scored

LAK30 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Geekie	C	2	0	2	3	3	0	+1	0	14:51	2:35
D. Pastrnak	RW	0	1	1	2	1	1	0	0	20:01	2:25
A. Steeves	C	0	1	1	1	1	2	+1	2	12:37	1:12
P. Zacha	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	20:03	2:24
F. Minten	C	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	15:47	0:00
M. Blümel	RW	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	0	15:19	2:29
T. Jeannot	LW	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	14:01	0:19
M. Khusnutdinov	C	0	0	0	0	2	1	+1	0	13:55	1:36
M. Eyssimont	C	0	0	0	3	3	1	0	0	13:12	1:10
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	2	3	3	0	0	13:03	0:15
S. Kuraly	C	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	14	12:04	0:00
R. Tufte	LW	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	11:59	0:00
N. Zadorov	D	0	2	2	2	0	1	+2	0	26:19	0:08
H. Lindholm	D	0	0	0	2	1	4	-1	0	23:24	2:30
A. Peeke	D	0	0	0	1	2	1	+1	2	18:53	0:00
J. Aspirot	D	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	18:07	0:18
H. Jokiharju	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	17:36	1:17
M. Lohrei	D	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	16:10	1:22

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Swayman	32	31	1	.969	62:27	Win
J. Korpisalo	0	0	0	–	0:00

LAK Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Moore	LW	0	1	1	1	0	0	-1	0	17:02	2:57
J. Armia	RW	1	0	1	2	0	1	+1	0	10:25	0:00
Q. Byfield	RW	0	0	0	3	0	1	-2	0	21:10	4:19
A. Laferriere	RW	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	20:48	3:24
K. Fiala	LW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	19:52	5:22
A. Kempe	RW	0	0	0	2	3	2	0	0	19:36	5:25
P. Danault	C	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	19:02	3:42
A. Kopitar	C	0	0	0	4	1	1	-1	0	18:05	4:23
A. Kuzmenko	LW	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1	0	17:00	5:26
W. Foegele	LW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	14:24	0:00
C. Perry	RW	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	12:11	5:09
A. Turcotte	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5:33	0:00
B. Dumoulin	D	0	1	1	2	0	1	+1	0	19:24	0:00
B. Clarke	D	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	21:57	3:39
J. Edmundson	D	0	0	0	3	1	2	0	0	20:39	0:18
M. Anderson	D	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	19:43	0:06
C. Ceci	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	16:36	0:00
J. Moverare	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	-1	0	9:54	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
D. Kuemper	26	24	2	.923	62:27	OT loss
A. Forsberg	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

BOS

Line 1D. Pastrnak16:24P. Zacha14:27M. Blümel12:50

Line 2R. Tufte11:59M. Eyssimont12:02S. Kuraly9:14

Line 3T. Jeannot10:32F. Minten11:52M. Kastelic9:25

Line 4M. Geekie11:28A. Steeves9:17M. Khusnutdinov11:34

Pair 1N. Zadorov19:21J. Aspirot15:15

Pair 2H. Lindholm15:02H. Jokiharju15:21

Pair 3A. Peeke15:48M. Lohrei13:59

LAK

Line 1A. Laferriere15:12P. Danault15:20W. Foegele13:24

Line 2K. Fiala13:50A. Kempe12:58Q. Byfield12:53

Line 3A. Kopitar12:59A. Kuzmenko11:34T. Moore12:17

Line 4J. Armia8:32A. Turcotte5:33C. Perry7:02

Pair 1J. Edmundson17:44M. Anderson16:15

Pair 2B. Dumoulin18:05B. Clarke17:04

Pair 3C. Ceci15:14J. Moverare9:54

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamTanner Jeannot BOS Faces LAK, his team until Mar 20253 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	BOS 2.8, LAK 3.1	BOS 2, LAK 1
Total goals	5.9	3
Shots on goal	BOS 25.0, LAK 29.8	BOS 26, LAK 32
Win chance	LAK 55%	BOS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
LAK K. Fiala	3.4	0	0.92	0	33%	0
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.3	2	1.14	1	39%	0
LAK A. Kempe	3.2	2	1.00	0	35%	0
LAK A. Laferriere	2.4	1	0.52	0	20%	0
LAK Q. Byfield	2.3	3	0.77	0	23%	0
LAK T. Moore	2.1	1	0.50	1	20%	0
LAK W. Foegele	2.0	1	0.43	0	19%	0
BOS M. Geekie	2.0	3	0.69	2	28%	2
BOS M. Eyssimont	1.9	3	0.29	0	12%	0
LAK B. Clarke	1.9	2	0.47	0	9%	0
LAK C. Perry	1.8	2	0.57	0	24%	0
LAK P. Danault	1.5	4	0.53	0	16%	0
BOS H. Lindholm	1.4	2	0.37	0	7%	0
LAK A. Kopitar	1.4	4	0.82	0	23%	0
LAK A. Kuzmenko	1.4	0	0.58	0	22%	0
BOS M. Kastelic	1.4	2	0.30	0	14%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.4	2	0.57	0	18%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.3	1	0.25	0	12%	0
BOS F. Minten	1.3	1	0.26	0	14%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.3	2	0.27	2	8%	0
BOS M. Blümel	1.2	1	0.19	0	11%	0
LAK J. Armia	1.2	2	0.34	1	14%	1
BOS A. Steeves	1.1	1	0.23	1	11%	0
BOS T. Jeannot	1.1	3	0.27	0	12%	0
BOS A. Peeke	1.1	1	0.19	0	3%	0
LAK J. Edmundson	1.1	3	0.24	0	5%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	0.9	0	0.30	0	5%	0
LAK C. Ceci	0.9	1	0.23	0	4%	0
BOS R. Tufte	0.8	1	0.20	0	12%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	0.8	0	0.27	0	12%	0
LAK A. Turcotte	0.8	0	0.21	0	7%	0
LAK B. Dumoulin	0.8	2	0.22	1	4%	0
BOS H. Jokiharju	0.8	1	0.16	0	3%	0
LAK M. Anderson	0.8	2	0.24	0	4%	0
BOS J. Aspirot	0.7	0	0.09	0	3%	0
LAK J. Moverare	0.4	2	0.09	0	2%	0

Shots on goal: 21 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.