Game Recap: BOS 2, MIN 6, December 14, 2025

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Game Recap

BOS2

FinalSun, Dec 14, 2025Every game that night

MIN6

MIN beat BOS 6-2, and the chances backed it up: 2.95 expected goals to 2.12. K. Kaprizov led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). B. Jones had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 0.8. F. Gustavsson stopped 29 of 31.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
BOS	0	0	2	2
MIN	1	2	3	6

1st 10:11MINJ. SpurgeonPP0.04 xG
2nd 8:49MINK. Kaprizov0.18 xG
2nd 12:57MINR. HartmanPP0.17 xG
3rd 0:54MINQ. Hughes0.11 xG
3rd 8:08MINM. Boldy0.11 xG
3rd 10:58BOSA. Steeves0.16 xG
3rd 14:55MINK. Kaprizov0.09 xG
3rd 19:59BOSA. Peeke0.21 xG

Team Stats

BOSMIN

31Shots on goal31

2.12Expected goals2.95

63Shot attempts60

285v5 shots on goal24

0/2Power play2/3

20Hits14

16Blocked shots14

6Penalty minutes4

13Giveaways15

3Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BOS 2.12 xGMIN 2.95 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BOS30 on goal, 2 scored

MIN31 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
T. Jeannot	LW	0	1	1	1	4	0	+1	0	14:36	0:00
S. Kuraly	C	0	1	1	0	2	1	+1	2	14:30	0:00
F. Minten	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	+2	0	14:27	0:03
A. Steeves	C	1	0	1	3	5	0	+1	0	12:28	0:00
M. Eyssimont	C	0	1	1	3	1	0	+1	2	12:21	1:46
D. Pastrnak	RW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-3	0	17:01	2:14
E. Lindholm	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	-3	0	16:49	2:14
M. Khusnutdinov	C	0	0	0	4	0	0	-1	0	16:11	1:46
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	15:30	2:11
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	4	2	1	0	0	15:01	0:00
P. Zacha	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	-1	0	14:57	2:14
M. Geekie	C	0	0	0	1	2	1	-2	0	12:37	1:46
A. Peeke	D	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	20:00	0:00
C. McAvoy	D	0	0	0	0	0	3	-2	0	24:50	2:14
N. Zadorov	D	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	21:32	0:01
H. Lindholm	D	0	0	0	3	0	2	-1	0	20:34	1:46
M. Lohrei	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	16:01	1:45
V. Soderstrom	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	-1	0	14:58	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Swayman	31	25	6	.806	60:00	Loss
J. Korpisalo	0	0	0	–	0:00

MIN Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
K. Kaprizov	LW	2	1	3	4	0	2	+3	0	19:12	2:50
R. Hartman	RW	1	2	3	2	0	0	+1	0	13:39	2:06
M. Boldy	LW	1	1	2	3	0	0	+2	0	18:41	2:51
J. Eriksson Ek	C	0	1	1	1	1	0	+2	0	14:50	2:23
N. Aube-Kubel	RW	0	1	1	0	1	1	+1	4	13:40	1:03
M. Johansson	LW	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	7:57	0:26
V. Tarasenko	RW	0	0	0	2	1	0	-1	0	18:29	2:22
Y. Trenin	C	0	0	0	1	4	0	-1	0	17:26	1:37
D. Yurov	RW	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	15:41	1:53
N. Sturm	C	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	15:12	0:30
T. Pitlick	C	0	0	0	3	2	3	+1	0	13:24	0:56
B. Jones	C	0	0	0	4	2	0	-1	0	11:50	1:30
B. Faber	D	0	2	2	3	0	3	+1	0	23:55	0:49
Q. Hughes	D	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	26:55	3:21
J. Spurgeon	D	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	17:30	0:38
D. Hunt	D	0	1	1	1	1	1	+2	0	15:50	0:57
Z. Bogosian	D	0	0	0	0	1	1	-1	0	19:03	1:03
D.Jiricek	D	0	0	0	1	0	0	+2	0	12:52	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
F. Gustavsson	31	29	2	.935	59:54	Win
J. Wallstedt	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

BOS

Line 1T. Jeannot12:25M. Kastelic13:08S. Kuraly12:15

Line 2P. Zacha12:43C. Mittelstadt13:19M. Khusnutdinov13:06

Line 3A. Steeves11:27F. Minten12:07M. Eyssimont10:35

Line 4E. Lindholm14:19M. Geekie10:45D. Pastrnak14:37

Pair 1V. Soderstrom14:52M. Lohrei13:40

Pair 2C. McAvoy18:59N. Zadorov18:59

Pair 3H. Lindholm16:15A. Peeke17:54

MIN

Line 1J. Ek11:15M. Boldy13:48K. Kaprizov16:16

Line 2V. Tarasenko16:07D. Yurov13:48Y. Trenin13:41

Line 3B. Jones10:20N. Sturm12:46T. Pitlick12:12

Line 4R. Hartman11:17N. Aube-Kubel12:21

Pair 1Q. Hughes23:24B. Faber20:41

Pair 2Z. Bogosian16:01J. Spurgeon14:52

Pair 3D. Hunt12:59D.Jiricek12:46

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownCasey Mittelstadt BOS Plays near home (born in Eden Prairie)0 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	BOS 2.9, MIN 2.9	BOS 2, MIN 6
Total goals	5.7	8
Shots on goal	BOS 27.4, MIN 29.3	BOS 31, MIN 31
Win chance	BOS 50%	MIN won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
MIN K. Kaprizov	3.7	4	1.22	3	44%	2
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.6	2	1.10	0	39%	0
MIN M. Boldy	3.4	3	0.97	2	33%	1
MIN J. Ek	3.3	1	0.74	1	27%	0
MIN Q. Hughes	2.9	3	1.07	1	14%	1
MIN R. Hartman	2.2	2	0.48	3	20%	1
BOS M. Eyssimont	2.2	3	0.27	1	12%	0
BOS M. Geekie	2.1	1	0.72	0	29%	0
MIN B. Faber	1.9	3	0.46	2	11%	0
MIN V. Tarasenko	1.9	2	0.55	0	21%	0
BOS H. Lindholm	1.8	3	0.45	0	8%	0
BOS C. McAvoy	1.8	0	0.54	0	9%	0
MIN M. Johansson	1.7	0	0.55	1	18%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	1.6	1	0.53	0	19%	0
MIN D. Yurov	1.6	0	0.38	0	14%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.6	0	0.28	1	13%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.5	0	0.33	0	8%	0
BOS M. Kastelic	1.5	4	0.30	0	14%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.5	2	0.54	0	18%	0
MIN Y. Trenin	1.4	1	0.26	0	13%	0
BOS A. Steeves	1.4	3	0.41	1	19%	1
BOS F. Minten	1.4	1	0.31	1	16%	0
BOS A. Peeke	1.4	2	0.23	1	4%	1
MIN J. Spurgeon	1.4	1	0.37	1	8%	1
BOS T. Jeannot	1.3	1	0.30	1	13%	0
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.2	0	0.49	0	17%	0
MIN N. Sturm	1.0	2	0.22	0	10%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	1.0	2	0.32	0	5%	0
MIN Z. Bogosian	1.0	0	0.18	0	4%	0
BOS V. Soderstrom	0.9	2	0.16	0	1%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	0.9	4	0.25	0	11%	0
MIN N. Aube-Kubel	0.8	0	0.18	1	8%	0
MIN D.Jiricek	0.8	1	0.16	0	3%	0
MIN B. Jones	0.8	4	0.04	0	4%	0
MIN T. Pitlick	0.7	3	0.12	0	5%	0
MIN D. Hunt	0.6	1	0.13	1	3%	0

Shots on goal: 18 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.