Game Recap: BOS 4, NYI 3 (SO), November 4, 2025

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Game Recap

BOS4

Final/SOTue, Nov 4, 2025Every game that night

NYI3

BOS beat NYI 4-3 in a shootout, with the chances close: 3.70 expected goals to 3.56. B. Horvat led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). V. Arvidsson had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.3. J. Swayman stopped 30 of 33.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	SO	T
BOS	0	2	1	1	4
NYI	0	2	1	0	3

2nd 5:11NYIA. Duclair0.03 xG
2nd 12:21BOSV. Arvidsson0.14 xG
2nd 13:06NYIB. Horvat0.10 xG
2nd 17:29BOSP. ZachaPP0.34 xG
3rd 5:05NYIB. Horvat0.09 xG
3rd 15:06BOSM. Khusnutdinov0.14 xG

Team Stats

BOSNYI

27Shots on goal33

3.70Expected goals3.56

58Shot attempts65

205v5 shots on goal23

1/4Power play0/3

16Hits15

16Blocked shots14

10Penalty minutes12

13Giveaways13

5Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BOS 3.70 xGNYI 3.56 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BOS27 on goal, 3 scored

NYI33 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
D. Pastrnak	RW	0	1	1	2	0	0	-1	0	20:54	5:41
M. Geekie	C	0	1	1	4	0	2	-1	0	19:03	4:28
P. Zacha	C	1	0	1	3	3	1	+1	0	18:36	4:26
V. Arvidsson	LW	1	0	1	6	0	1	+1	0	18:31	4:05
C. Mittelstadt	C	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	17:07	2:22
M. Khusnutdinov	C	1	0	1	1	0	0	-1	0	16:50	2:00
F. Minten	C	0	1	1	2	1	0	+1	0	16:28	0:18
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	15:26	0:13
S. Kuraly	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	0	14:18	0:00
T. Jeannot	LW	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	12:46	0:17
M. Eyssimont	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	9:17	0:49
J. Beecher	C	0	0	0	1	0	0	-1	0	8:34	0:00
H. Lindholm	D	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	26:47	2:55
C. McAvoy	D	0	1	1	2	1	3	0	2	23:43	3:50
A. Peeke	D	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	22:06	0:00
N. Zadorov	D	0	0	0	1	1	1	-1	8	18:38	0:00
J. Aspirot	D	0	0	0	2	3	3	0	0	15:38	0:00
H. Jokiharju	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1	0	14:57	2:16

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Swayman	33	30	3	.909	65:00	Win
J. Korpisalo	0	0	0	–	0:00

NYI Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
B. Horvat	C	2	0	2	5	2	0	+1	0	24:33	5:08
M. Barzal	C	0	1	1	5	0	1	+1	2	22:56	5:08
K. Palmieri	C	0	1	1	4	0	1	0	0	20:35	4:52
E. Heineman	LW	0	1	1	1	3	1	0	0	13:31	0:47
C. Cizikas	C	0	1	1	1	3	0	+1	0	8:57	0:00
A. Duclair	LW	1	0	1	2	0	1	+1	2	8:49	0:00
K. MacLean	C	0	1	1	0	0	0	+1	0	7:49	0:00
S. Holmstrom	RW	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	18:29	0:52
J. Drouin	LW	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	18:15	4:52
J. Pageau	C	0	0	0	0	1	2	-1	0	17:58	0:00
A. Lee	LW	0	0	0	3	1	1	-1	4	14:00	0:52
C. Ritchie	C	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	12:48	0:52
M. Schaefer	D	0	1	1	5	0	1	+1	2	22:31	5:00
R. Pulock	D	0	0	0	0	1	0	+1	0	22:05	0:00
S. Mayfield	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	21:50	0:00
A. Pelech	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1	0	20:53	0:00
A. Romanov	D	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	17:32	0:05
T. DeAngelo	D	0	0	0	2	1	2	0	0	15:24	1:16

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
I. Sorokin	27	24	3	.889	65:00	OT loss
D. Rittich	0	0	0	–	0:00

Lines at 5-on-5

BOS

Line 1D. Pastrnak13:06M. Khusnutdinov13:26M. Geekie13:31

Line 2V. Arvidsson13:19C. Mittelstadt13:32P. Zacha12:57

Line 3F. Minten12:19T. Jeannot10:16M. Kastelic12:35

Line 4S. Kuraly11:04M. Eyssimont8:28J. Beecher7:48

Pair 1H. Lindholm19:53A. Peeke18:26

Pair 2N. Zadorov15:16C. McAvoy15:15

Pair 3H. Jokiharju12:12J. Aspirot14:17

NYI

Line 1M. Barzal16:06B. Horvat13:54E. Heineman12:24

Line 2A. Lee13:08S. Holmstrom12:47J. Pageau12:13

Line 3J. Drouin12:20C. Ritchie11:56K. Palmieri11:58

Line 4C. Cizikas8:57K. MacLean7:49A. Duclair8:49

Pair 1S. Mayfield19:55M. Schaefer16:17

Pair 2A. Romanov15:00T. DeAngelo13:45

Pair 3A. Pelech15:14R. Pulock15:08

From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.

Storylines That Played Out

HometownCharlie McAvoy BOS Plays near home (born in Long Beach)1 A, 2 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	BOS 2.9, NYI 3.2	BOS 4, NYI 3
Total goals	6.1	7
Shots on goal	BOS 25.6, NYI 31.4	BOS 27, NYI 33
Win chance	NYI 56%	BOS won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.5	2	1.19	1	40%	0
NYI B. Horvat	3.3	5	0.89	2	34%	2
NYI A. Lee	2.7	3	0.61	0	25%	0
NYI M. Barzal	2.7	5	0.94	1	24%	0
NYI K. Palmieri	2.5	4	0.71	1	28%	0
NYI M. Schaefer	2.4	5	0.57	1	12%	0
BOS V. Arvidsson	2.3	6	0.55	1	21%	1
BOS M. Eyssimont	2.0	1	0.30	0	12%	0
BOS M. Geekie	2.0	4	0.74	1	28%	0
NYI T. DeAngelo	1.8	2	0.49	0	10%	0
BOS C. McAvoy	1.7	2	0.60	1	10%	0
NYI E. Heineman	1.6	1	0.43	1	20%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.5	3	0.64	1	19%	1
BOS M. Kastelic	1.4	0	0.28	0	13%	0
NYI A. Duclair	1.4	2	0.41	1	20%	1
NYI C. Ritchie	1.4	0	0.28	0	14%	0
NYI A. Pelech	1.4	1	0.30	0	3%	0
NYI J. Drouin	1.4	2	0.71	0	17%	0
BOS S. Kuraly	1.4	1	0.28	0	12%	0
NYI A. Romanov	1.4	0	0.27	0	5%	0
BOS H. Lindholm	1.3	1	0.35	1	6%	0
NYI S. Holmstrom	1.3	1	0.56	0	22%	0
NYI J. Pageau	1.3	0	0.48	0	15%	0
BOS F. Minten	1.3	2	0.26	1	13%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.2	1	0.32	0	8%	0
NYI R. Pulock	1.2	0	0.31	0	6%	0
BOS C. Mittelstadt	1.2	0	0.51	1	16%	0
BOS T. Jeannot	1.2	0	0.29	0	14%	0
BOS A. Peeke	1.1	0	0.21	0	3%	0
NYI C. Cizikas	1.0	1	0.22	1	9%	0
NYI S. Mayfield	1.0	1	0.21	0	4%	0
BOS H. Jokiharju	0.9	0	0.22	0	4%	0
NYI K. MacLean	0.9	0	0.18	1	8%	0
BOS M. Khusnutdinov	0.8	1	0.23	1	10%	1
BOS J. Beecher	0.8	1	0.18	0	9%	0

Shots on goal: 19 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.0 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.