Game Recap: BOS 1, NYR 2, January 2, 2025

Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!

Game Recap

BOS1

FinalThu, Jan 2, 2025Every game that night

NYR2

NYR beat BOS 2-1, with the chances close: 2.59 expected goals to 2.33. A. Lafrenière had 6 shots on goal against our projection of 2.3. J. Quick stopped 32 of 33.

Scoring

	1st	2nd	3rd	T
BOS	0	1	0	1
NYR	2	0	0	2

1st 9:48NYRM. Zibanejad0.58 xG
1st 12:53NYRB. Berard0.16 xG
2nd 7:57BOSE. Lindholm0.11 xG

Team Stats

BOSNYR

33Shots on goal27

2.33Expected goals2.59

77Shot attempts49

325v5 shots on goal25

0/1Power play0/1

18Hits16

17Blocked shots24

2Penalty minutes2

14Giveaways17

6Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BOS 2.33 xGNYR 2.59 xGGoal

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BOS33 on goal, 1 scored

NYR27 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BOS Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
E. Lindholm	C	1	0	1	2	0	3	+1	0	21:28	0:27
D. Pastrnak	RW	0	1	1	7	0	0	-1	2	21:23	0:27
B. Marchand	LW	0	0	0	3	0	1	+1	0	22:46	0:27
T. Frederic	C	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	16:46	0:00
P. Zacha	C	0	0	0	1	0	1	-2	0	16:32	0:27
M. Geekie	C	0	0	0	2	0	1	-2	0	14:22	0:00
J. Brazeau	RW	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	14:12	0:00
C. Coyle	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14:05	0:00
O. Wahlstrom	RW	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	12:13	0:00
M. Kastelic	C	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	9:25	0:00
C. Koepke	LW	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	8:34	0:00
J. Beecher	C	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	8:26	0:00
C. McAvoy	D	0	1	1	3	1	1	0	0	25:56	0:27
N. Zadorov	D	0	0	0	2	3	3	0	0	22:16	0:00
M. Lohrei	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	-1	0	19:45	0:00
P. Wotherspoon	D	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	17:41	0:00
B. Carlo	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	17:07	0:00
A. Peeke	D	0	0	0	1	1	0	-1	0	17:01	0:00

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Swayman	27	25	2	.926	58:02	Loss
J. Korpisalo	0	0	0	–	0:00

NYR Skaters

Player	Pos	G	A	P	SOG	HIT	BLK	+/-	PIM	TOI	PP TOI
M. Zibanejad	C	1	0	1	4	0	1	0	0	18:46	0:00
C. Kreider	LW	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	18:01	0:22
R. Smith	RW	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	16:16	0:00
F. Chytil	C	0	1	1	2	0	0	+1	0	14:15	0:08
B. Berard	LW	1	0	1	1	3	1	+1	0	10:50	0:00
V. Trocheck	C	0	0	0	2	2	2	0	0	19:39	0:19
A. Lafrenière	LW	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	17:32	0:18
A. Panarin	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	17:14	0:11
W. Cuylle	LW	0	0	0	2	3	0	+1	0	14:37	0:09
S. Carrick	C	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	10:39	0:00
J. Vesey	LW	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10:27	0:00
A. Edstrom	C	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	9:51	0:00
A. Fox	D	0	0	0	2	0	4	0	0	23:55	0:11
K. Miller	D	0	0	0	1	0	1	+1	2	22:57	0:05
R. Lindgren	D	0	0	0	1	1	5	0	0	22:03	0:00
W. Borgen	D	0	0	0	1	0	2	+1	0	19:41	0:00
B. Schneider	D	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	15:44	0:16
U. Vaakanainen	D	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	15:33	0:16

Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
J. Quick	33	32	1	.970	60:00	Win
L. Domingue	0	0	0	–	0:00

Storylines That Played Out

Old teamJoonas Korpisalo NYR Faces BOS, his team until May 20260 saves on 0
HometownCharlie McAvoy BOS Plays near home (born in Long Beach)1 A, 3 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.

How We Did

	We projected	It finished
Score	BOS 2.9, NYR 3.0	BOS 1, NYR 2
Total goals	5.9	3
Shots on goal	BOS 29.1, NYR 28.8	BOS 33, NYR 27
Win chance	NYR 51%	NYR won

Players

Player	SOG projected	SOG	Points projected	Points	Goal chance	Goals
BOS D. Pastrnak	3.6	7	0.96	1	36%	0
NYR A. Panarin	2.8	0	1.11	0	31%	0
NYR C. Kreider	2.5	1	0.67	1	34%	0
NYR V. Trocheck	2.4	2	0.81	0	26%	0
BOS B. Marchand	2.4	3	0.77	0	26%	0
NYR A. Lafrenière	2.3	6	0.65	0	25%	0
NYR M. Zibanejad	2.1	4	0.71	1	23%	1
NYR F. Chytil	2.0	2	0.46	1	18%	0
BOS M. Geekie	2.0	2	0.50	0	19%	0
BOS P. Zacha	1.8	1	0.62	0	21%	0
BOS E. Lindholm	1.7	2	0.57	1	21%	1
NYR W. Cuylle	1.7	2	0.44	0	19%	0
NYR A. Fox	1.7	2	0.82	0	12%	0
NYR R. Smith	1.7	2	0.51	1	19%	0
BOS C. McAvoy	1.6	3	0.47	1	8%	0
BOS J. Brazeau	1.5	4	0.41	0	18%	0
BOS C. Coyle	1.5	0	0.48	0	19%	0
NYR B. Berard	1.5	1	0.27	1	12%	1
BOS T. Frederic	1.4	1	0.38	0	17%	0
BOS O. Wahlstrom	1.3	1	0.23	0	11%	0
BOS M. Kastelic	1.2	1	0.24	0	11%	0
BOS N. Zadorov	1.2	2	0.27	0	8%	0
BOS C. Koepke	1.1	0	0.25	0	12%	0
NYR K. Miller	1.1	1	0.29	0	7%	0
NYR B. Schneider	1.1	0	0.21	0	5%	0
BOS B. Carlo	1.0	1	0.17	0	4%	0
BOS M. Lohrei	1.0	1	0.38	0	5%	0
NYR J. Vesey	0.9	0	0.21	0	9%	0
BOS A. Peeke	0.9	1	0.16	0	3%	0
NYR W. Borgen	0.9	1	0.19	0	4%	0
NYR S. Carrick	0.8	0	0.19	0	9%	0
NYR R. Lindgren	0.8	1	0.21	0	4%	0
NYR A. Edstrom	0.8	1	0.15	0	9%	0
BOS P. Wotherspoon	0.7	2	0.16	0	2%	0
NYR U. Vaakanainen	0.7	1	0.14	0	2%	0
BOS J. Beecher	0.7	1	0.20	0	10%	0

Shots on goal: 25 of 36 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 more than projected on average.

Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.