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Game Recap
BOS1
SJS3
SJS beat BOS 3-1, and the chances backed it up: 2.88 expected goals to 1.69. W. Eklund led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). A. Georgiev stopped 22 of 23.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| SJS | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
- 2nd 2:13SJSW. Eklund0.10 xG
- 2nd 16:50BOSC. Mittelstadt0.19 xG
- 3rd 16:37SJSL. Carlsson0.17 xG
- 3rd 19:10SJSB. GoodrowEN0.94 xG
Team Stats
BOSSJS
23Shots on goal21
1.69Expected goals2.88
54Shot attempts52
215v5 shots on goal13
0/2Power play0/2
19Hits13
21Blocked shots16
9Penalty minutes9
11Giveaways13
2Takeaways1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
BOS 1.69 xGSJS 2.88 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
BOS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Mittelstadt | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 17:08 | 2:03 |
| C. Koepke | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:14 | 0:00 |
| D. Pastrnak | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 22:44 | 2:15 |
| M. Geekie | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 20:45 | 1:50 |
| P. Zacha | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:10 | 1:56 |
| E. Lindholm | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 15:52 | 2:12 |
| V. Lettieri | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 14:19 | 1:58 |
| M. Khusnutdinov | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 | 1:56 |
| F. Lysell | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:16 | 1:45 |
| J. Beecher | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:20 | 0:01 |
| P. Brown | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:43 | 0:00 |
| J. Lauko | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:18 | 0:00 |
| N. Zadorov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 23:22 | 0:00 |
| H. Jokiharju | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:57 | 1:45 |
| M. Lohrei | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 21:47 | 2:15 |
| A. Peeke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20:40 | 0:04 |
| P. Wotherspoon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:27 | 0:00 |
| M. Callahan | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:12 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Korpisalo | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 58:56 | Loss |
| J. Swayman | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
SJS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Celebrini | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:52 | 2:20 |
| W. Eklund | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 18:51 | 2:21 |
| W. Smith | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:09 | 1:55 |
| B. Goodrow | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10:17 | 0:14 |
| A. Wennberg | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:15 | 1:27 |
| C. Graf | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:31 | 1:26 |
| T. Toffoli | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:10 | 2:19 |
| T. Dellandrea | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:53 | 0:00 |
| P. Giles | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:54 | 0:00 |
| N. Kovalenko | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:35 | 1:25 |
| C. Grundstrom | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:53 | 0:14 |
| Z. Ostapchuk | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:17 | 0:14 |
| L. Carlsson | D | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:18 | 0:10 |
| L. Cagnoni | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:16 | 2:25 |
| M. Ferraro | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24:52 | 0:04 |
| S. Mukhamadullin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24:35 | 1:25 |
| T. Liljegren | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:46 | 2:01 |
| V. Desharnais | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:36 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Georgiev | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 60:00 | Win |
| G. Romanov | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BOS 3.3, SJS 2.9 | BOS 1, SJS 3 |
| Total goals | 6.2 | 4 |
| Shots on goal | BOS 27.8, SJS 28.7 | BOS 23, SJS 21 |
| Win chance | BOS 57% | SJS won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 4.1 | 5 | 1.38 | 0 | 46% | 0 |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 3.3 | 3 | 0.83 | 2 | 27% | 0 |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 2.9 | 3 | 0.73 | 0 | 31% | 0 |
| BOS M. Geekie | 2.1 | 0 | 0.72 | 0 | 29% | 0 |
| SJS W. Smith | 2.0 | 0 | 0.68 | 1 | 21% | 0 |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 1.9 | 3 | 0.65 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| SJS W. Eklund | 1.8 | 3 | 0.71 | 2 | 20% | 1 |
| BOS P. Zacha | 1.7 | 0 | 0.77 | 0 | 24% | 0 |
| SJS C. Grundstrom | 1.6 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 13% | 0 |
| BOS V. Lettieri | 1.5 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| BOS N. Zadorov | 1.5 | 1 | 0.37 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| BOS M. Lohrei | 1.4 | 0 | 0.54 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| BOS C. Mittelstadt | 1.3 | 2 | 0.66 | 1 | 19% | 1 |
| SJS T. Liljegren | 1.3 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| BOS C. Koepke | 1.3 | 2 | 0.29 | 1 | 16% | 0 |
| SJS C. Graf | 1.3 | 1 | 0.39 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| BOS A. Peeke | 1.2 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| BOS H. Jokiharju | 1.2 | 1 | 0.28 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| SJS S. Mukhamadullin | 1.0 | 1 | 0.36 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| SJS A. Wennberg | 1.0 | 1 | 0.45 | 0 | 14% | 0 |
| SJS P. Giles | 1.0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| SJS M. Ferraro | 1.0 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| SJS T. Dellandrea | 1.0 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| SJS L. Carlsson | 0.9 | 2 | 0.21 | 2 | 5% | 1 |
| BOS J. Lauko | 0.9 | 1 | 0.28 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.9 | 2 | 0.21 | 1 | 11% | 1 |
| BOS P. Wotherspoon | 0.8 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| BOS P. Brown | 0.8 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| SJS N. Kovalenko | 0.8 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| BOS M. Khusnutdinov | 0.8 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| SJS Z. Ostapchuk | 0.6 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
| BOS J. Beecher | 0.6 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
| SJS V. Desharnais | 0.6 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| BOS M. Callahan | 0.5 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 22 of 34 players within one of their projection; they took 0.2 fewer than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.