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Game Recap
BOS6
SJS3
BOS beat SJS 6-3, with the chances close: 3.29 expected goals to 2.96. SJS outshot BOS 38 to 26. F. Minten led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Wennberg had 4 shots on goal against our projection of 1.1. J. Swayman stopped 35 of 38.
Team Stats
BOSSJS
26Shots on goal38
3.29Expected goals2.96
47Shot attempts65
215v5 shots on goal31
0/2Power play2/4
25Hits28
19Blocked shots9
13Penalty minutes11
13Giveaways11
3Takeaways4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
BOS 3.29 xGSJS 2.96 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
BOS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Minten | C | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 18:41 | 2:01 |
| M. Geekie | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:46 | 1:59 |
| D. Pastrnak | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:32 | 1:57 |
| P. Zacha | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:32 | 1:59 |
| J. Peterka | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:16 | 2:01 |
| M. Khusnutdinov | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 14:17 | 0:00 |
| C. Mittelstadt | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:49 | 2:01 |
| M. Kastelic | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 12:27 | 0:00 |
| M. Poitras | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:53 | 0:00 |
| E. Lindholm | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:26 | 1:59 |
| T. Jeannot | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:41 | 0:00 |
| J. Hagens | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 11:24 | 2:01 |
| C. McAvoy | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 24:41 | 1:59 |
| W. Borgen | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 0 | 21:47 | 0:00 |
| N. Zadorov | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 9 | 18:15 | 0:00 |
| M. Lohrei | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:20 | 0:00 |
| H. Lindholm | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 22:34 | 0:02 |
| F. Brunet | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:27 | 2:01 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Swayman | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 60:00 | Win |
| M. DiPietro | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
SJS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Celebrini | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 19:51 | 3:49 |
| I. Stenberg | LW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -4 | 2 | 16:49 | 3:48 |
| W. Smith | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:50 | 3:49 |
| K. Sherwood | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 13:55 | 0:14 |
| A. Wennberg | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 20:00 | 3:48 |
| M. Marchment | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:39 | 1:10 |
| I. Chernyshov | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:53 | 1:10 |
| C. Graf | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 | 0:14 |
| T. Toffoli | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:44 | 1:08 |
| M. Misa | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 12:30 | 1:10 |
| B. Goodrow | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 11:43 | 0:00 |
| Z. Ostapchuk | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:48 | 0:14 |
| D. Orlov | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 19:32 | 2:31 |
| J. Trouba | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 21:14 | 0:14 |
| S. Dickinson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:57 | 0:07 |
| M. Kesselring | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 19:15 | 0:00 |
| D. Nurse | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 | 17:39 | 0:00 |
| L. Cagnoni | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 | 15:41 | 2:34 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Askarov | 25 | 20 | 5 | .800 | 57:41 | Loss |
| A. Nedeljkovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
Lines at 5-on-5
BOS
Line 1D. Pastrnak16:28M. Geekie15:47P. Zacha14:22
Line 2J. Peterka13:43F. Minten14:13M. Khusnutdinov10:53
Line 3M. Kastelic9:52M. Poitras10:43T. Jeannot11:13
Line 4E. Lindholm9:18C. Mittelstadt9:32J. Hagens9:23
Pair 1H. Lindholm17:53C. McAvoy19:14
Pair 2N. Zadorov16:19W. Borgen17:59
SJS
Line 1A. Wennberg13:45M. Marchment13:39T. Toffoli11:07
Line 2M. Celebrini14:09I. Chernyshov14:14W. Smith15:11
Line 3M. Misa10:51K. Sherwood11:50I. Stenberg11:11
Line 4B. Goodrow9:42C. Graf10:27Z. Ostapchuk9:15
Pair 1J. Trouba17:53S. Dickinson19:15
Pair 2M. Kesselring17:53D. Nurse14:14
Pair 3D. Orlov15:11L. Cagnoni12:38
From the NHL's shift charts: the players on the ice together most at 5-on-5, with each one's own 5-on-5 time.
Prop Results
12 of 22 overs hit (55%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | SOG | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 3.5 | +105 | -125 | 4 | Over |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 3.5 | +105 | -118 | 5 | Over |
| SJS W. Smith | 2.5 | +130 | -150 | 4 | Over |
| SJS A. Wennberg | 1.5 | +155 | -215 | 4 | Over |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 1.5 | -130 | +110 | 3 | Over |
| BOS C. Mittelstadt | 1.5 | +105 | – | 2 | Over |
| SJS D. Nurse | 1.5 | -140 | +110 | 2 | Over |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 1.5 | -155 | +120 | 0 | Under |
| BOS F. Minten | 1.5 | -113 | -105 | 4 | Over |
| SJS I. Chernyshov | 1.5 | +125 | -145 | 3 | Over |
| BOS J. Hagens | 1.5 | -114 | +100 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Peterka | 1.5 | -160 | +135 | 1 | Under |
| SJS J. Trouba | 1.5 | +100 | -110 | 3 | Over |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 1.5 | -105 | -120 | 1 | Under |
| SJS L. Cagnoni | 1.5 | +105 | -120 | 1 | Under |
| BOS M. Geekie | 1.5 | -180 | +148 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Kesselring | 1.5 | +105 | -115 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Marchment | 1.5 | -115 | -106 | 1 | Under |
| SJS M. Misa | 1.5 | +125 | -170 | 1 | Under |
| BOS P. Zacha | 1.5 | -150 | +125 | 1 | Under |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 1.5 | -156 | +130 | 5 | Over |
| BOS M. Khusnutdinov | 0.5 | -190 | – | 1 | Over |
7 of 35 overs hit (20%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | G | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS A. Wennberg | 0.5 | +390 | -650 | 0 | Under |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.5 | +1200 | -1400 | 0 | Under |
| SJS C. Graf | 0.5 | +600 | -900 | 0 | Under |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 0.5 | +480 | -700 | 1 | Over |
| BOS C. Mittelstadt | 0.5 | +600 | -750 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Nurse | 0.5 | +1100 | -2500 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Orlov | 0.5 | +1100 | -2800 | 0 | Under |
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 0.5 | +150 | -175 | 0 | Under |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 0.5 | +370 | -475 | 0 | Under |
| BOS F. Brunet | 0.5 | +1300 | -3500 | 0 | Under |
| BOS F. Minten | 0.5 | +350 | -475 | 2 | Over |
| BOS H. Lindholm | 0.5 | +1300 | -2000 | 0 | Under |
| SJS I. Chernyshov | 0.5 | +400 | -600 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Hagens | 0.5 | +350 | -550 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Peterka | 0.5 | +260 | -340 | 0 | Under |
| SJS J. Trouba | 0.5 | +1200 | -2500 | 1 | Over |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 0.5 | +470 | -750 | 0 | Under |
| SJS L. Cagnoni | 0.5 | +625 | -1400 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 0.5 | +140 | -175 | 1 | Over |
| BOS M. Geekie | 0.5 | +195 | -250 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Kastelic | 0.5 | +950 | -2500 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Kesselring | 0.5 | +1800 | -3500 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Khusnutdinov | 0.5 | +800 | -1200 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Lohrei | 0.5 | +1000 | -2800 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Marchment | 0.5 | +360 | -550 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Misa | 0.5 | +450 | -600 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Poitras | 0.5 | +850 | -1000 | 1 | Over |
| BOS N. Zadorov | 0.5 | +1600 | -2800 | 0 | Under |
| BOS P. Zacha | 0.5 | +230 | -275 | 1 | Over |
| SJS S. Dickinson | 0.5 | +1700 | -3500 | 0 | Under |
| BOS T. Jeannot | 0.5 | +1000 | -2800 | 0 | Under |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 0.5 | +400 | -450 | 0 | Under |
| BOS W. Borgen | 0.5 | +1800 | -5000 | 1 | Over |
| SJS W. Smith | 0.5 | +210 | -270 | 0 | Under |
| SJS Z. Ostapchuk | 0.5 | +1300 | -3500 | 0 | Under |
12 of 35 overs hit (34%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS A. Wennberg | 0.5 | +200 | -220 | 0 | Under |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.5 | +750 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS C. Graf | 0.5 | +340 | -475 | 0 | Under |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 0.5 | +100 | -130 | 0 | Under |
| BOS C. Mittelstadt | 0.5 | +245 | -325 | 1 | Over |
| SJS D. Nurse | 0.5 | +265 | -370 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Orlov | 0.5 | +185 | -260 | 2 | Over |
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 0.5 | -105 | -110 | 1 | Over |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 0.5 | +210 | -275 | 0 | Under |
| BOS F. Brunet | 0.5 | +290 | -425 | 0 | Under |
| BOS F. Minten | 0.5 | +270 | -360 | 0 | Under |
| BOS H. Lindholm | 0.5 | +215 | -300 | 0 | Under |
| SJS I. Chernyshov | 0.5 | +290 | -350 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Hagens | 0.5 | +300 | -425 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Peterka | 0.5 | +240 | -325 | 1 | Over |
| SJS J. Trouba | 0.5 | +220 | -310 | 0 | Under |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 0.5 | +285 | -400 | 1 | Over |
| SJS L. Cagnoni | 0.5 | +188 | -215 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 0.5 | -122 | +100 | 1 | Over |
| BOS M. Geekie | 0.5 | +165 | -205 | 2 | Over |
| BOS M. Kastelic | 0.5 | +450 | – | 1 | Over |
| SJS M. Kesselring | 0.5 | +550 | -900 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Khusnutdinov | 0.5 | +285 | -425 | 1 | Over |
| BOS M. Lohrei | 0.5 | +180 | -245 | 1 | Over |
| SJS M. Marchment | 0.5 | +250 | -275 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Misa | 0.5 | +310 | -450 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Poitras | 0.5 | +500 | – | 0 | Under |
| BOS N. Zadorov | 0.5 | +425 | -650 | 1 | Over |
| BOS P. Zacha | 0.5 | +160 | -185 | 0 | Under |
| SJS S. Dickinson | 0.5 | +550 | – | 0 | Under |
| BOS T. Jeannot | 0.5 | +475 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 0.5 | +320 | -350 | 0 | Under |
| BOS W. Borgen | 0.5 | +400 | -600 | 0 | Under |
| SJS W. Smith | 0.5 | +164 | -200 | 1 | Over |
| SJS Z. Ostapchuk | 0.5 | +700 | – | 0 | Under |
17 of 35 overs hit (49%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | P | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 1.5 | +162 | -200 | 1 | Under |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 1.5 | +172 | -205 | 2 | Over |
| SJS A. Wennberg | 0.5 | +116 | -132 | 0 | Under |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.5 | +400 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS C. Graf | 0.5 | +185 | -255 | 0 | Under |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 0.5 | -135 | +120 | 1 | Over |
| BOS C. Mittelstadt | 0.5 | +165 | -185 | 1 | Over |
| SJS D. Nurse | 0.5 | +205 | -280 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Orlov | 0.5 | +155 | -210 | 2 | Over |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 0.5 | +118 | -135 | 0 | Under |
| BOS F. Brunet | 0.5 | +215 | -300 | 0 | Under |
| BOS F. Minten | 0.5 | +125 | -150 | 2 | Over |
| BOS H. Lindholm | 0.5 | +175 | -240 | 0 | Under |
| SJS I. Chernyshov | 0.5 | +155 | -160 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Hagens | 0.5 | +145 | -195 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Peterka | 0.5 | +115 | -135 | 1 | Over |
| SJS J. Trouba | 0.5 | +180 | -250 | 1 | Over |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 0.5 | +160 | -220 | 1 | Over |
| SJS L. Cagnoni | 0.5 | +130 | -160 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Geekie | 0.5 | -130 | +105 | 2 | Over |
| BOS M. Kastelic | 0.5 | +310 | – | 1 | Over |
| SJS M. Kesselring | 0.5 | +425 | -650 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Khusnutdinov | 0.5 | +190 | -265 | 1 | Over |
| BOS M. Lohrei | 0.5 | +140 | -190 | 1 | Over |
| SJS M. Marchment | 0.5 | +132 | -140 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Misa | 0.5 | +170 | -200 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Poitras | 0.5 | +290 | – | 1 | Over |
| BOS N. Zadorov | 0.5 | +350 | -525 | 1 | Over |
| BOS P. Zacha | 0.5 | -125 | +105 | 1 | Over |
| SJS S. Dickinson | 0.5 | +425 | – | 0 | Under |
| BOS T. Jeannot | 0.5 | +320 | – | 0 | Under |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 0.5 | +140 | -175 | 0 | Under |
| BOS W. Borgen | 0.5 | +320 | -475 | 1 | Over |
| SJS W. Smith | 0.5 | -135 | +120 | 1 | Over |
| SJS Z. Ostapchuk | 0.5 | +450 | – | 0 | Under |
3 of 20 overs hit (15%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | PPP | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS A. Wennberg | 0.5 | +360 | -500 | 0 | Under |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 0.5 | +190 | -290 | 0 | Under |
| BOS C. Mittelstadt | 0.5 | +450 | -1200 | 0 | Under |
| SJS D. Orlov | 0.5 | +500 | -1600 | 1 | Over |
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 0.5 | +165 | -165 | 0 | Under |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 0.5 | +325 | -450 | 0 | Under |
| BOS F. Minten | 0.5 | +450 | -1200 | 0 | Under |
| SJS I. Chernyshov | 0.5 | +400 | -1100 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Hagens | 0.5 | +450 | -1200 | 0 | Under |
| BOS J. Peterka | 0.5 | +375 | -750 | 0 | Under |
| SJS J. Trouba | 0.5 | +500 | -1600 | 0 | Under |
| SJS L. Cagnoni | 0.5 | +375 | -400 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Celebrini | 0.5 | +225 | -250 | 2 | Over |
| BOS M. Geekie | 0.5 | +230 | -350 | 0 | Under |
| BOS M. Lohrei | 0.5 | +500 | -1600 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Marchment | 0.5 | +380 | -550 | 0 | Under |
| SJS M. Misa | 0.5 | +400 | -1100 | 0 | Under |
| BOS P. Zacha | 0.5 | +250 | -290 | 0 | Under |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 0.5 | +380 | -900 | 0 | Under |
| SJS W. Smith | 0.5 | +290 | -300 | 1 | Over |
1 of 2 overs hit (50%).
| Player | Line | Over | Under | SV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS J. Swayman | 25.5 | -110 | -115 | 35 | Over |
| SJS Y. Askarov | 24.5 | -108 | -110 | 20 | Under |
1 of 3 overs hit (33%).
Each player's main line (the one most books posted) at the last price before puck drop, the best price on each side there, and what he did.
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BOS 3.3, SJS 2.8 | BOS 6, SJS 3 |
| Total goals | 6.1 | 9 |
| Shots on goal | BOS 26.1, SJS 27.6 | BOS 26, SJS 38 |
| Win chance | BOS 57% | BOS won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS M. Celebrini | 3.5 | 5 | 1.16 | 2 | 34% | 1 |
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 3.4 | 4 | 1.31 | 1 | 40% | 0 |
| SJS W. Smith | 2.3 | 4 | 0.75 | 1 | 26% | 0 |
| BOS M. Geekie | 2.1 | 0 | 0.83 | 2 | 32% | 0 |
| SJS T. Toffoli | 2.1 | 5 | 0.53 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| SJS D. Nurse | 2.1 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| SJS K. Sherwood | 2.0 | 1 | 0.44 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| SJS J. Trouba | 1.9 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 8% | 1 |
| BOS J. Peterka | 1.8 | 1 | 0.62 | 1 | 25% | 0 |
| BOS P. Zacha | 1.8 | 1 | 0.79 | 1 | 26% | 1 |
| SJS I. Chernyshov | 1.8 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| SJS M. Marchment | 1.8 | 1 | 0.60 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 1.7 | 3 | 0.80 | 1 | 15% | 1 |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 1.6 | 0 | 0.62 | 0 | 23% | 0 |
| BOS J. Hagens | 1.6 | 0 | 0.46 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| BOS F. Minten | 1.5 | 4 | 0.47 | 2 | 20% | 2 |
| SJS M. Kesselring | 1.5 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| SJS L. Cagnoni | 1.5 | 1 | 0.39 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| SJS I. Stenberg | 1.5 | 2 | 0.43 | 2 | 17% | 1 |
| SJS M. Misa | 1.4 | 1 | 0.47 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| BOS N. Zadorov | 1.3 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 8% | 0 |
| BOS H. Lindholm | 1.2 | 3 | 0.44 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| SJS C. Graf | 1.2 | 2 | 0.36 | 0 | 15% | 0 |
| BOS C. Mittelstadt | 1.2 | 2 | 0.54 | 1 | 18% | 0 |
| BOS M. Kastelic | 1.2 | 1 | 0.29 | 1 | 13% | 0 |
| BOS M. Poitras | 1.1 | 3 | 0.38 | 1 | 12% | 1 |
| SJS A. Wennberg | 1.1 | 4 | 0.51 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| SJS D. Orlov | 1.1 | 0 | 0.30 | 2 | 5% | 0 |
| BOS M. Lohrei | 1.0 | 1 | 0.41 | 1 | 10% | 0 |
| SJS S. Dickinson | 1.0 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| BOS T. Jeannot | 0.9 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| BOS M. Khusnutdinov | 0.9 | 1 | 0.37 | 1 | 16% | 0 |
| BOS W. Borgen | 0.9 | 1 | 0.27 | 1 | 7% | 1 |
| SJS B. Goodrow | 0.8 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| SJS Z. Ostapchuk | 0.8 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 7% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 18 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.3 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.