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Game Recap
BOS1
WPG8
WPG beat BOS 8-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.40 expected goals to 2.44. WPG outshot BOS 35 to 24. M. Scheifele led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). C. Hellebuyck stopped 23 of 24.
Scoring
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| WPG | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 |
- 1st 12:09WPGV. NamestnikovPP0.45 xG
- 1st 18:01WPGM. Scheifele0.22 xG
- 2nd 7:02WPGM. ScheifelePP0.15 xG
- 2nd 9:13BOSD. PastrnakPP0.08 xG
- 3rd 1:15WPGK. Connor0.05 xG
- 3rd 5:33WPGG. Vilardi0.04 xG
- 3rd 7:19WPGA. IafalloPP0.08 xG
- 3rd 16:16WPGM. Appleton0.02 xG
- 3rd 16:26WPGN. Chibrikov0.08 xG
Team Stats
BOSWPG
24Shots on goal35
2.44Expected goals3.40
62Shot attempts58
205v5 shots on goal24
1/2Power play3/6
56Hits35
8Blocked shots16
37Penalty minutes29
21Giveaways23
4Takeaways4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.
Expected Goals Over the Game
BOS 2.44 xGWPG 3.40 xGGoal
Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.
Shot Map
GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance
Box Score
BOS Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Pastrnak | RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 16:01 | 1:36 |
| B. Marchand | LW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 15:25 | 1:36 |
| P. Zacha | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 19:07 | 1:36 |
| J. Beecher | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:31 | 0:00 |
| C. Coyle | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 15:20 | 0:00 |
| M. Geekie | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 15:06 | 0:00 |
| E. Lindholm | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 14:51 | 1:36 |
| T. Frederic | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 13:28 | 0:00 |
| C. Koepke | LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:42 | 0:00 |
| J. Brazeau | RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:35 | 0:00 |
| M. McLaughlin | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:05 | 0:00 |
| M. Kastelic | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9:31 | 0:00 |
| C. McAvoy | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 4 | 21:33 | 1:36 |
| J. Oesterle | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:53 | 0:00 |
| A. Peeke | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 19:42 | 0:00 |
| B. Carlo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 19:13 | 0:00 |
| N. Zadorov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 18:45 | 0:00 |
| M. Lohrei | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 17:35 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Swayman | 35 | 27 | 8 | .771 | 60:00 | Loss |
| J. Korpisalo | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
WPG Skaters
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | SOG | HIT | BLK | +/- | PIM | TOI | PP TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Scheifele | C | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 20:58 | 5:08 |
| K. Connor | LW | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 20:52 | 5:06 |
| G. Vilardi | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 19:41 | 5:06 |
| N. Chibrikov | RW | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:28 | 3:17 |
| C. Perfetti | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:17 | 4:48 |
| V. Namestnikov | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:56 | 3:21 |
| N. Niederreiter | RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:24 | 3:14 |
| M. Appleton | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:14 | 0:00 |
| A. Iafallo | LW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:23 | 2:56 |
| A. Lowry | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 12:50 | 0:00 |
| M. Barron | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:07 | 0:00 |
| D. Gustafsson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:54 | 0:00 |
| N. Pionk | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 2 | 20:56 | 3:21 |
| J. Morrissey | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 23:16 | 4:40 |
| H. Fleury | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:46 | 0:41 |
| D. DeMelo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 20:00 | 0:25 |
| V. Heinola | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 17:36 | 0:07 |
| L. Stanley | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +1 | 15 | 12:49 | 0:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hellebuyck | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 59:46 | Win |
| E. Comrie | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0:00 |
How We Did
| We projected | It finished | |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BOS 2.7, WPG 2.9 | BOS 1, WPG 8 |
| Total goals | 5.6 | 9 |
| Shots on goal | BOS 27.9, WPG 29.0 | BOS 24, WPG 35 |
| Win chance | WPG 53% | WPG won |
Players
| Player | SOG projected | SOG | Points projected | Points | Goal chance | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS D. Pastrnak | 4.0 | 5 | 1.02 | 1 | 39% | 1 |
| WPG K. Connor | 3.4 | 4 | 0.97 | 3 | 36% | 1 |
| BOS B. Marchand | 2.4 | 3 | 0.73 | 1 | 27% | 0 |
| WPG G. Vilardi | 2.3 | 3 | 0.72 | 2 | 31% | 1 |
| WPG M. Scheifele | 2.2 | 4 | 0.93 | 3 | 33% | 2 |
| WPG J. Morrissey | 2.2 | 1 | 0.78 | 1 | 12% | 0 |
| WPG N. Niederreiter | 2.1 | 1 | 0.45 | 1 | 22% | 0 |
| WPG C. Perfetti | 2.1 | 1 | 0.57 | 1 | 20% | 0 |
| BOS P. Zacha | 2.0 | 1 | 0.60 | 0 | 21% | 0 |
| BOS E. Lindholm | 1.8 | 2 | 0.56 | 0 | 22% | 0 |
| BOS C. McAvoy | 1.7 | 2 | 0.47 | 1 | 9% | 0 |
| WPG N. Pionk | 1.7 | 1 | 0.48 | 2 | 7% | 0 |
| BOS J. Brazeau | 1.7 | 1 | 0.41 | 0 | 17% | 0 |
| BOS T. Frederic | 1.7 | 2 | 0.41 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| BOS M. Geekie | 1.7 | 2 | 0.40 | 0 | 16% | 0 |
| BOS C. Coyle | 1.5 | 1 | 0.47 | 0 | 18% | 0 |
| WPG M. Appleton | 1.5 | 1 | 0.37 | 1 | 13% | 1 |
| WPG A. Lowry | 1.4 | 2 | 0.43 | 1 | 16% | 0 |
| BOS N. Zadorov | 1.4 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 9% | 0 |
| WPG H. Fleury | 1.3 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 3% | 0 |
| BOS M. McLaughlin | 1.2 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 12% | 0 |
| BOS M. Kastelic | 1.2 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| WPG V. Namestnikov | 1.2 | 3 | 0.41 | 1 | 14% | 1 |
| BOS B. Carlo | 1.1 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| WPG A. Iafallo | 1.1 | 3 | 0.27 | 1 | 12% | 1 |
| WPG M. Barron | 1.0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 8% | 0 |
| BOS C. Koepke | 1.0 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 11% | 0 |
| BOS J. Oesterle | 1.0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WPG V. Heinola | 1.0 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 2% | 0 |
| BOS M. Lohrei | 1.0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 6% | 0 |
| WPG D. DeMelo | 0.9 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 4% | 0 |
| WPG L. Stanley | 0.9 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| BOS A. Peeke | 0.8 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 3% | 0 |
| WPG D. Gustafsson | 0.7 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 5% | 0 |
| BOS J. Beecher | 0.7 | 0 | 0.20 | 0 | 10% | 0 |
Shots on goal: 24 of 35 players within one of their projection; they took 0.1 more than projected on average.
Our projections as they stood at puck drop. One game says little about a model; Model Notes has how it tests over thousands.