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Game Recap
BUF0
FinalSat, Dec 16, 2023Every game that night
ARI2

ARI beat BUF 2-0, and the chances backed it up: 3.53 expected goals to 2.72. K. Vejmelka stopped 28 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF0000
ARI0112
  1. 2nd 15:12ARIC. Keller0.14 xG
  2. 3rd 9:36ARIL. O'Brien0.13 xG

Team Stats

BUFARI
28Shots on goal22
2.72Expected goals3.53
61Shot attempts57
215v5 shots on goal19
0/1Power play0/2
16Hits23
20Blocked shots19
6Penalty minutes4
6Giveaways14
4Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.72 xGARI 3.53 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdARI goal, 15:12ARI goal, 9:36

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF27 on goal, 0 scored
ARI22 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC000210-1021:441:24
A. TuchRW000212-2021:171:24
J. PeterkaRW0003000020:311:24
C. MittelstadtC0002000219:321:15
Z. BensonLW000413-1218:430:45
D. CozensC0000000016:550:36
P. KrebsC000300-1016:440:00
K. OkposoRW0000200013:050:32
E. RobinsonLW000001-1011:190:00
V. OlofssonLW0002010011:070:36
T. JostC0000000010:280:00
R. DahlinD000453-1025:351:24
O. PowerD0001010021:000:36
M. SamuelssonD000013-1217:260:00
H. JokiharjuD0002200014:560:00
E. JohnsonD0000220013:190:00
C. CliftonD0001010013:060:00
R. JohnsonD000213-2011:580:04
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen22202.90956:49Loss
E. Comrie000–0:00

ARI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. KerfootC011221+1019:531:46
C. KellerRW101520+1017:141:23
L. CooleyC011000+1010:581:34
L. O'BrienC101320+109:580:00
M. MaccelliLW0002010018:482:38
L. CrouseLW0000300018:002:09
N. SchmaltzC000200+1017:501:49
N. BjugstadC0003100017:482:14
J. ZuckerLW0001100015:192:11
M. CarconeLW0001200013:290:00
J. McBainC0000210012:530:00
Z. SanfordLW000013+108:570:00
J. MoserD0001010022:111:38
M. DumbaD0000430221:530:16
T. StecherD000013+2220:150:00
J. VälimäkiD000101+2019:192:22
T. DermottD0000020016:540:00
M. KesselringD0001230015:550:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Vejmelka282801.00060:00Win
C. Ingram000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

  • Old teamJason Zucker BUF Faces ARI, his team until Mar 20241 SOG

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.