Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
BUF4
Final/OTSat, Dec 31, 2022Every game that night
BOS3

BUF beat BOS 4-3 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 2.00 expected goals to 4.71. BOS outshot BUF 40 to 25. A. Tuch led the way with 4 points (2 G, 2 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 37 of 40.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
BUF11114
BOS10203
  1. 1st 13:09BOSD. Pastrnak0.06 xG
  2. 1st 16:13BUFT. Thompson0.19 xG
  3. 2nd 2:03BUFA. Tuch0.12 xG
  4. 3rd 5:16BOSP. BergeronPP0.13 xG
  5. 3rd 12:25BOSB. Marchand0.18 xG
  6. 3rd 18:23BUFD. Cozens0.05 xG
  7. OT 3:53BUFA. Tuch0.11 xG

Team Stats

BUFBOS
25Shots on goal40
2.00Expected goals4.71
42Shot attempts66
165v5 shots on goal26
0/3Power play1/5
27Hits30
17Blocked shots12
17Penalty minutes11
14Giveaways9
4Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.00 xGBOS 4.71 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTBOS goal, 13:09BUF goal, 16:13BUF goal, 2:03BOS goal, 5:16BOS goal, 12:25BUF goal, 18:23BUF goal, 3:53

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF25 on goal, 4 scored
BOS39 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. TuchRW224210+3021:303:09
D. CozensC112310+1017:263:09
T. ThompsonC101300+2022:393:30
J. SkinnerLW011200+2019:033:35
K. OkposoRW0002510214:320:06
P. KrebsC0001300514:220:06
C. MittelstadtC0000100013:542:46
J. PeterkaRW000011-1413:282:24
J. QuinnRW000210-1013:102:19
Z. GirgensonsC0001110012:400:06
V. OlofssonLW0002000012:032:22
T. JostC0001300010:590:00
R. DahlinD0115460227:523:36
I. LyubushkinD0110100211:370:00
O. PowerD000013+2028:442:24
M. SamuelssonD0000330024:440:22
J. BrysonD0000120015:240:06
K. ClagueD000100+129:410:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen40373.92563:16Win
C. Anderson000–0:00

BOS Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. MarchandLW112621-1022:493:49
D. PastrnakRW112601+1020:304:08
D. KrejciC011230+2020:254:03
P. BergeronC101620-3020:183:07
P. ZachaC0113310019:382:15
J. DeBruskLW011130-1018:202:29
T. HallLW000101-1015:033:16
C. CoyleC000210-1014:550:00
N. FolignoLW0001710011:131:29
T. FredericC0002110211:020:00
C. SmithC000020-126:410:00
A. GreerLW000020006:060:00
C. McAvoyD0112000026:484:04
H. LindholmD000412-1223:442:49
D. ForbortD0000210019:120:00
B. CarloD000211+1018:380:00
M. GrzelcykD000201-1016:030:43
C. CliftonD000001-2514:160:08
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Swayman25214.84063:51OT loss
L. Ullmark000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.