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Game Recap
BUF3
FinalFri, Nov 4, 2022Every game that night
CAR5

CAR beat BUF 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 3.87 expected goals to 2.77. CAR outshot BUF 33 to 25. S. Aho scored three for CAR. A. Raanta stopped 22 of 25.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF2013
CAR2125
  1. 1st 0:28BUFJ. Bryson0.07 xG
  2. 1st 8:07CARS. Aho0.03 xG
  3. 1st 10:06BUFV. Olofsson0.09 xG
  4. 1st 12:45CARS. AhoPP0.09 xG
  5. 2nd 4:03CARM. Necas0.10 xG
  6. 3rd 9:22CARJ. Kotkaniemi0.11 xG
  7. 3rd 17:46CARS. AhoEN0.93 xG
  8. 3rd 19:59BUFR. DahlinPP0.06 xG

Team Stats

BUFCAR
25Shots on goal33
2.77Expected goals3.87
47Shot attempts57
195v5 shots on goal20
1/5Power play1/4
17Hits20
9Blocked shots11
10Penalty minutes12
3Giveaways13
7Takeaways10

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.77 xGCAR 3.87 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdBUF goal, 0:28CAR goal, 8:07BUF goal, 10:06CAR goal, 12:45CAR goal, 4:03CAR goal, 9:22CAR goal, 17:46BUF goal, 19:59

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF25 on goal, 3 scored
CAR31 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. QuinnRW022020-2016:384:42
D. CozensC0110210016:243:59
V. OlofssonLW101100-1015:313:53
J. PeterkaRW0110000014:030:36
T. ThompsonC000301-1018:344:01
J. SkinnerLW000320-1017:273:59
A. TuchRW0000200016:554:01
C. MittelstadtC000000-1015:474:00
K. OkposoRW0002200215:433:52
P. KrebsC000200-1013:160:39
Z. GirgensonsC0001000011:160:00
R. AsplundC0001100010:550:01
R. DahlinD1018030626:586:01
J. BrysonD101212+1023:230:05
K. ClagueD011020+1215:570:00
O. PowerD0002010024:433:11
L. PilutD000001-3011:010:00
C. FitzgeraldD000030-309:520:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Anderson32284.87559:25Loss
E. Comrie000–0:00

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. AhoC314400+2218:263:20
M. NecasC123430+1016:103:33
T. TeravainenC022000+1017:312:27
A. SvechnikovRW022310+1016:443:30
S. JarvisRW022221+1015:032:11
J. KotkaniemiC1011100215:141:26
J. StaalC0001400015:490:19
J. MartinookLW0002100212:450:19
D. StepanC0001120012:421:07
J. FastRW0001100212:400:19
P. StastnyC0000100211:462:23
S. NoesenRW0000000011:433:23
J. SlavinD000233+1022:570:31
B. BurnsD000601+1022:124:03
B. PesceD0002100021:352:03
B. SkjeiD0003100217:330:00
C. de HaanD000102+1015:510:00
J. ChatfieldD000002+1014:430:06
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Raanta25223.88060:00Win
F. Andersen000–0:00