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Game Recap
BUF2
Final/OTTue, Nov 7, 2023Every game that night
CAR3

CAR beat BUF 3-2 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 3.22 expected goals to 1.81. B. Skjei led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). A. Raanta stopped 19 of 21.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
BUF01102
CAR10113
  1. 1st 12:43CART. DeAngeloPP0.01 xG
  2. 2nd 3:51BUFA. Tuch0.33 xG
  3. 3rd 7:54CARB. Skjei0.14 xG
  4. 3rd 9:23BUFR. DahlinPP0.04 xG
  5. OT 1:30CARM. Necas0.17 xG

Team Stats

BUFCAR
21Shots on goal27
1.81Expected goals3.22
42Shot attempts64
155v5 shots on goal17
1/4Power play1/4
14Hits23
20Blocked shots7
8Penalty minutes8
11Giveaways18
14Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 1.81 xGCAR 3.22 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTCAR goal, 12:43BUF goal, 3:51CAR goal, 7:54BUF goal, 9:23CAR goal, 1:30

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF20 on goal, 2 scored
CAR25 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. MittelstadtC011100-2021:393:48
A. TuchRW1014010020:213:56
T. ThompsonC0112020020:023:31
J. GreenwayLW000123-1019:190:08
J. SkinnerLW0002100017:313:48
J. PeterkaRW0002010217:253:12
K. OkposoRW0001000015:282:53
Z. GirgensonsC0001000013:490:00
T. JostC000000+1013:080:00
V. OlofssonLW000000029:112:43
P. KrebsC000200008:203:03
L. RousekRW000001006:400:00
R. DahlinD101212+1223:373:54
O. PowerD000022-2026:172:59
R. JohnsonD000111+1219:260:20
C. CliftonD0001510017:030:00
H. JokiharjuD000023-1016:180:00
E. JohnsonD0001030012:380:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen27243.88961:24OT loss
D. Levi000–0:00

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. AhoC022200+1020:493:01
M. NecasC101240+1021:093:45
S. JarvisRW0000200020:533:42
T. TeravainenC0003000017:333:43
J. KotkaniemiC0001400017:003:23
A. SvechnikovRW0001200216:072:42
M. BuntingLW0000100012:572:38
J. StaalC0001000412:560:00
J. MartinookLW0002010211:230:00
S. NoesenRW0000300010:552:34
J. FastRW0001110010:090:00
J. DruryC0003200010:080:00
B. SkjeiD112220+2021:440:00
D. OrlovD011311+1021:570:00
T. DeAngeloD101202-1015:173:46
B. BurnsD0001000022:462:39
J. SlavinD0003020021:240:07
J. ChatfieldD000010-1012:560:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Raanta21192.90561:06Win
P. Kochetkov000–0:00