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Game Recap
BUF2
FinalSat, Dec 2, 2023Every game that night
CAR6

CAR beat BUF 6-2, and the chances backed it up: 4.41 expected goals to 1.58. CAR outshot BUF 37 to 22. S. Aho led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). P. Kochetkov stopped 20 of 22.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF0022
CAR2316
  1. 1st 15:26CARS. Aho0.11 xG
  2. 1st 16:36CARJ. Drury0.05 xG
  3. 2nd 1:06CARS. AhoPP0.13 xG
  4. 2nd 14:12CARS. Noesen0.21 xG
  5. 2nd 18:04CART. TeravainenPP0.09 xG
  6. 3rd 4:08BUFC. Mittelstadt0.10 xG
  7. 3rd 8:05CARB. SkjeiSH0.04 xG
  8. 3rd 9:24BUFT. Jost0.06 xG

Team Stats

BUFCAR
22Shots on goal37
1.58Expected goals4.41
38Shot attempts78
165v5 shots on goal33
0/5Power play2/2
24Hits14
16Blocked shots8
13Penalty minutes19
13Giveaways16
5Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 1.58 xGCAR 4.41 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdCAR goal, 15:26CAR goal, 16:36CAR goal, 1:06CAR goal, 14:12CAR goal, 18:04BUF goal, 4:08CAR goal, 8:05BUF goal, 9:24

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF21 on goal, 2 scored
CAR37 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. MittelstadtC101220+1024:035:26
A. TuchRW011101+1222:205:00
P. KrebsC011301+1014:450:00
T. JostC101103-108:240:00
J. SkinnerLW000320+1023:205:29
J. PeterkaRW000220-2018:423:32
D. CozensC000011-2016:493:46
K. OkposoRW000121-2216:224:12
Z. BensonLW000000-2015:093:43
V. OlofssonLW000001-1014:575:40
B. BiroLW000001-1010:130:00
J. GreenwayLW000110004:300:00
H. JokiharjuD011031-1017:280:19
R. DahlinD000410-1223:554:54
O. PowerD000212-1020:443:59
M. SamuelssonD000142-1019:460:00
C. CliftonD000032+1715:360:00
E. JohnsonD0001200012:400:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
E. Comrie37316.83859:45Loss
U. Luukkonen000–0:00

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. AhoC202600+1615:160:32
M. NecasC022210+1012:580:00
A. SvechnikovRW0221200212:580:32
T. TeravainenC112300+1012:550:32
S. JarvisRW011211+1017:330:32
J. DruryC101120+1512:500:00
S. NoesenRW101310+1411:460:00
J. StaalC000211-1016:300:00
J. FastRW000310-1016:280:00
J. MartinookLW0003000016:140:00
J. KotkaniemiC0001110013:110:00
M. BuntingLW000200+1211:530:00
J. SlavinD022022+3019:540:00
B. BurnsD022200+2019:060:32
B. SkjeiD101302+1024:200:00
J. ChatfieldD011110-1015:480:00
B. PesceD000101+1023:040:00
D. OrlovD000110-2017:160:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
P. Kochetkov22202.90960:00Win
A. Raanta000–0:00