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Game Recap
BUF9
FinalWed, Dec 7, 2022Every game that night
CBJ4

BUF beat CBJ 9-4 despite fewer good chances: 2.37 expected goals to 3.16. T. Thompson scored 5 for BUF. U. Luukkonen stopped 20 of 24.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF6309
CBJ0224
  1. 1st 3:21BUFD. CozensPP0.05 xG
  2. 1st 5:32BUFT. Thompson0.07 xG
  3. 1st 7:28BUFR. Dahlin0.18 xG
  4. 1st 7:50BUFT. Thompson0.22 xG
  5. 1st 12:22BUFT. ThompsonPP0.06 xG
  6. 1st 16:40BUFT. ThompsonPP0.16 xG
  7. 2nd 10:49CBJP. Laine0.03 xG
  8. 2nd 12:04CBJG. Nyquist0.18 xG
  9. 2nd 16:07BUFT. Thompson0.02 xG
  10. 2nd 17:19BUFP. Krebs0.23 xG
  11. 2nd 19:16BUFA. Tuch0.03 xG
  12. 3rd 4:47CBJP. Laine0.09 xG
  13. 3rd 15:49CBJG. Nyquist0.08 xG

Team Stats

BUFCBJ
30Shots on goal24
2.37Expected goals3.16
47Shot attempts47
235v5 shots on goal19
3/5Power play0/2
8Hits25
10Blocked shots14
6Penalty minutes22
4Giveaways5
3Takeaways7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.37 xGCBJ 3.16 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdBUF goal, 3:21BUF goal, 5:32BUF goal, 7:28BUF goal, 7:50BUF goal, 12:22BUF goal, 16:40CBJ goal, 10:49CBJ goal, 12:04BUF goal, 16:07BUF goal, 17:19BUF goal, 19:16CBJ goal, 4:47CBJ goal, 15:49

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF29 on goal, 9 scored
CBJ23 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC516900+3013:563:29
A. TuchRW134300+4013:193:30
J. SkinnerLW044100+4012:523:32
D. CozensC123101-1217:213:27
J. QuinnRW0113100018:511:53
P. KrebsC101210+1014:120:00
J. PeterkaRW0001100216:551:56
K. OkposoRW0000120015:370:00
Z. GirgensonsC0000200015:180:00
C. MittelstadtC000300-2014:541:55
T. JostC000001-1014:040:00
V. OlofssonLW000001-2013:511:58
R. DahlinD1232010018:483:26
J. BrysonD022002-1016:090:00
H. JokiharjuD000111+3023:560:00
O. PowerD000101+4223:541:59
M. SamuelssonD0002100018:110:00
L. PilutD000100-2013:520:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen24204.83360:00Win
C. Anderson000–0:00

CBJ Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
P. LaineLW2022000015:052:12
G. NyquistRW2024000014:340:55
B. JennerC0112200017:471:54
J. RoslovicC011101+1216:381:04
J. GaudreauLW011300-2016:202:14
E. ChinakhovRW011201+1013:130:59
K. JohnsonC0001100019:011:01
K. MarchenkoRW0001110017:142:15
C. SillingerC000111-1014:150:02
E. RobinsonLW000120-2213:060:00
S. KuralyC000241-21810:310:00
M. OlivierRW000120-107:550:00
M. BjorkD0111220018:112:16
V. GavrikovD011001+1018:080:49
E. GudbransonD000131-1022:570:20
A. PeekeD000122-3021:270:04
T. BerniD0000200019:160:10
G. BayreutherD000033-1017:300:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Korpisalo963.66727:28
E. Merzlikins21156.71432:32Loss