Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
BUF4
FinalThu, Dec 15, 2022Every game that night
COL2

BUF beat COL 4-2 despite fewer good chances: 2.42 expected goals to 4.47. COL outshot BUF 41 to 21. T. Thompson led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 39 of 41.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF2114
COL0022
  1. 1st 0:54BUFT. Thompson0.08 xG
  2. 1st 7:08BUFA. TuchPP0.03 xG
  3. 2nd 17:11BUFR. Dahlin0.17 xG
  4. 3rd 8:20COLM. Rantanen0.10 xG
  5. 3rd 18:38COLE. Rodrigues0.22 xG
  6. 3rd 19:02BUFD. CozensEN0.52 xG

Team Stats

BUFCOL
21Shots on goal41
2.42Expected goals4.47
28Shot attempts83
175v5 shots on goal30
1/2Power play0/2
10Hits24
23Blocked shots4
4Penalty minutes2
3Giveaways5
8Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.42 xGCOL 4.47 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdBUF goal, 0:54BUF goal, 7:08BUF goal, 17:11COL goal, 8:20COL goal, 18:38BUF goal, 19:02

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF19 on goal, 4 scored
COL41 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC112201+2022:501:58
A. TuchRW101512+1021:161:55
D. CozensC101200+1018:201:55
C. MittelstadtC0113110018:051:55
T. JostC0110110013:540:11
V. OlofssonLW011002-1013:401:04
J. PeterkaRW0001000015:150:50
J. QuinnRW000100+1014:270:51
R. AsplundC0000000013:040:00
V. HinostrozaC0000000210:000:00
Z. GirgensonsC000000-109:370:05
P. KrebsC000213008:300:59
R. DahlinD112104+1029:272:33
K. ClagueD011202+1023:560:26
M. SamuelssonD000144+1031:310:13
L. PilutD0001100017:440:00
C. FitzgeraldD000013-1214:240:00
O. PowerD000000000:000:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen41392.95160:00Win
C. Anderson000–0:00

COL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
V. NichushkinRW022311-1024:212:43
M. RantanenRW101840-1027:003:03
A. LehkonenLW011420-1020:212:40
E. RodriguesC1016000018:241:17
J. CompherLW0004000023:432:39
L. O'ConnorRW0000000012:420:00
A. NewhookC0002000012:141:21
B. MeyersC0001100012:030:00
A. CoglianoC0002000011:070:00
C. HudonLW000010007:540:57
D. HuntLW000030006:270:00
J. FoudyC000001005:400:00
C. MakarD011410-1228:453:11
D. ToewsD0003020027:050:49
S. GirardD000120-2022:191:20
E. JohnsonD0002200017:390:00
A. EnglundD0000500011:200:00
B. HuntD000120+109:550:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Georgiev20173.85057:20Loss
J. Johansson000–0:00