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Game Recap
BUF1
FinalWed, Dec 13, 2023Every game that night
COL5

COL beat BUF 5-1, and the chances backed it up: 3.14 expected goals to 2.28. M. Rantanen led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). I. Prosvetov stopped 29 of 30.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF1001
COL3025
  1. 1st 5:25COLM. Rantanen0.04 xG
  2. 1st 10:28COLV. Nichushkin0.23 xG
  3. 1st 11:55COLM. Wood0.12 xG
  4. 1st 18:38BUFZ. Benson0.04 xG
  5. 3rd 2:40COLS. Malinski0.03 xG
  6. 3rd 13:11COLV. NichushkinPP0.14 xG

Team Stats

BUFCOL
30Shots on goal29
2.28Expected goals3.14
61Shot attempts61
245v5 shots on goal25
0/2Power play1/2
22Hits14
15Blocked shots21
4Penalty minutes4
4Giveaways6
5Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.28 xGCOL 3.14 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdCOL goal, 5:25COL goal, 10:28COL goal, 11:55BUF goal, 18:38COL goal, 2:40COL goal, 13:11

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF29 on goal, 1 scored
COL29 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. PeterkaRW0113000015:581:11
Z. BensonLW101301+1215:341:11
C. MittelstadtC000110-1019:342:49
A. TuchRW0003110019:012:49
T. ThompsonC000520+1016:202:49
D. CozensC0004300015:540:13
P. KrebsC000131-2015:150:00
E. RobinsonLW000020-2014:550:00
K. OkposoRW000011-2014:230:58
T. JostC000021-2213:500:00
V. OlofssonLW000000-1012:290:57
J. SkinnerLW000101-107:572:49
R. DahlinD011421-1022:212:52
O. PowerD0001110024:011:08
M. SamuelssonD0002130020:510:00
H. JokiharjuD000012-1019:500:14
C. CliftonD000010-2014:540:00
E. JohnsonD000212-2014:050:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen29245.82860:00Loss
E. Comrie000–0:00

COL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. RantanenRW123420+2220:372:10
V. NichushkinRW202710+1022:302:12
N. MacKinnonC022220+1020:532:08
M. WoodLW1011020214:450:00
J. DrouinLW011211+2014:002:04
F. OlofssonLW011000+1010:480:00
L. O'ConnorRW0001030015:060:00
R. JohansenC000100+1014:000:39
T. TatarLW000000+1013:150:40
R. ColtonC0001010012:330:38
A. CoglianoC0000000010:060:00
B. MeyersC000210009:370:00
S. MalinskiD112201+3016:250:39
J. JohnsonD011224+2018:570:00
C. MakarD0112010017:210:48
D. ToewsD0002110022:521:21
B. ByramD000013+1022:520:41
J. MansonD0000340019:230:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Prosvetov30291.96760:00Win
A. Georgiev000–0:00