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Game Recap
BUF3
Final/OTMon, Jan 23, 2023Every game that night
DAL2

BUF beat DAL 3-2 in overtime despite fewer good chances: 2.48 expected goals to 3.68. J. Pavelski led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). C. Anderson stopped 29 of 31.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
BUF10113
DAL10102
  1. 1st 1:48DALJ. BennPP0.05 xG
  2. 1st 11:29BUFR. Dahlin0.06 xG
  3. 3rd 1:44BUFV. Olofsson0.11 xG
  4. 3rd 5:58DALJ. Robertson0.21 xG
  5. OT 0:56BUFO. Power0.29 xG

Team Stats

BUFDAL
25Shots on goal31
2.48Expected goals3.68
52Shot attempts49
225v5 shots on goal25
0/3Power play1/1
13Hits26
12Blocked shots15
2Penalty minutes6
13Giveaways10
9Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.48 xGDAL 3.68 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdOTDAL goal, 1:48BUF goal, 11:29BUF goal, 1:44DAL goal, 5:58BUF goal, 0:56

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF24 on goal, 3 scored
DAL31 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC022001+2221:123:00
J. SkinnerLW011100+1020:512:57
A. TuchRW011200+1019:462:59
C. MittelstadtC011100+1017:052:49
V. OlofssonLW101310+2016:582:49
K. OkposoRW000230-1015:150:11
P. KrebsC000010-1014:330:13
T. JostC000210+1013:320:00
Z. GirgensonsC000130-1013:140:07
D. CozensC0000000012:402:58
J. QuinnRW0001000011:142:49
J. PeterkaRW0002000010:412:49
R. DahlinD101425+2024:242:47
O. PowerD101301+1022:513:04
M. SamuelssonD000102+1022:240:00
H. JokiharjuD0001020019:260:28
I. LyubushkinD000020-1013:280:00
J. BrysonD0001010012:490:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Anderson31292.93560:56Win
E. Comrie000–0:00

DAL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. PavelskiC0222010018:480:25
J. RobertsonLW101102-1218:550:25
R. HintzC0111100214:380:25
J. BennLW1015110014:280:25
T. DellandreaC0000500015:310:00
W. JohnstonC0001000015:000:00
T. SeguinC000120-1014:420:00
R. FaksaC000421-1014:370:00
L. GlendeningC000001-1012:470:00
M. MarchmentLW0003000012:340:00
D. GurianovRW0003100012:000:00
J. KivirantaLW000410-1011:560:00
M. HeiskanenD000211-1025:590:25
J. HakanpääD000062-1022:080:00
E. LindellD000021-1019:310:00
C. MillerD0002400019:120:00
R. SuterD0002040218:580:00
J. HanleyD0000010015:040:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Oettinger25223.88060:56OT loss
S. Wedgewood000–0:00