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Game Recap
BUF2
Final/OTSat, Nov 27, 2021Every game that night
DET3

DET beat BUF 3-2 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 4.06 expected goals to 1.31. DET outshot BUF 41 to 28. A. Nedeljkovic stopped 26 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
BUF01102
DET02013
  1. 2nd 5:05BUFD. Cozens0.13 xG
  2. 2nd 9:56DETC. Rowney0.07 xG
  3. 2nd 11:15DETP. Suter0.08 xG
  4. 3rd 18:23BUFJ. Skinner0.04 xG
  5. OT 0:26DETL. Raymond0.15 xG

Team Stats

BUFDET
28Shots on goal41
1.31Expected goals4.06
46Shot attempts59
275v5 shots on goal33
0/0Power play0/3
9Hits12
8Blocked shots15
8Penalty minutes2
2Giveaways8
3Takeaways2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 1.31 xGDET 4.06 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTBUF goal, 5:05DET goal, 9:56DET goal, 11:15BUF goal, 18:23DET goal, 0:26

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF27 on goal, 2 scored
DET41 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
K. OkposoRW0112000216:450:00
D. CozensC1013000015:020:00
C. EakinC011000+1014:050:00
J. SkinnerLW101201+1013:230:00
B. MurrayLW0111000012:500:00
Z. GirgensonsC000200-1016:380:00
V. OlofssonLW0002000015:170:00
T. ThompsonC0002200015:030:00
J. HaydenC0002200013:510:00
A. BjorkLW000110-1013:330:00
R. AsplundC000210-1013:120:00
V. HinostrozaC0002000012:380:00
R. DahlinD011422-1223:380:00
H. JokiharjuD0002000022:360:00
M. PysykD000001-1021:210:00
J. BrysonD0001000018:430:00
C. MillerD000004+1217:330:00
R. HaggD0000100217:250:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Tokarski41383.92760:11OT loss
A. Dell000–0:00

DET Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. LarkinC0112000022:233:45
L. RaymondLW101300+1019:543:13
P. SuterC101200+1014:342:33
S. GagnerC0110000012:490:00
C. RowneyC101112+1012:210:11
G. SmithRW011131+108:470:00
T. BertuzziLW000802-1019:423:35
R. FabbriC000010+1016:084:08
F. ZadinaRW000413+1015:202:25
A. ErneLW000200-1015:081:52
M. RasmussenC000201-1214:090:00
V. NamestnikovC000220-1012:270:00
F. HronekD011402+1023:312:37
M. SeiderD0113040021:053:15
G. LindstromD0113100015:150:00
N. LeddyD0001000022:041:34
M. StaalD000220-1016:590:00
J. OesterleD000110+1016:420:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Nedeljkovic28262.92960:26Win
T. Greiss000–0:00