Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
BUF7
Final/SOThu, Apr 6, 2023Every game that night
DET6

BUF beat DET 7-6 in a shootout, with the chances close: 3.42 expected goals to 2.95. D. Cozens led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). D. Levi stopped 26 of 32.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdSOT
BUF31217
DET22206
  1. 1st 4:35BUFT. Thompson0.06 xG
  2. 1st 10:38DETA. Czarnik0.05 xG
  3. 1st 15:05DETD. LarkinPP0.10 xG
  4. 1st 17:10BUFH. Jokiharju0.13 xG
  5. 1st 19:08BUFD. CozensPP0.07 xG
  6. 2nd 1:33BUFZ. Girgensons0.07 xG
  7. 2nd 16:04DETA. ChiassonPP0.18 xG
  8. 2nd 16:52DETS. Edvinsson0.01 xG
  9. 3rd 3:20BUFJ. Greenway0.08 xG
  10. 3rd 4:32BUFD. Cozens0.06 xG
  11. 3rd 8:02DETJ. Berggren0.33 xG
  12. 3rd 19:00DETD. Perron0.10 xG

Team Stats

BUFDET
36Shots on goal32
3.42Expected goals2.95
53Shot attempts51
245v5 shots on goal23
1/3Power play2/3
9Hits14
12Blocked shots5
8Penalty minutes8
8Giveaways13
6Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 3.42 xGDET 2.95 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTBUF goal, 4:35DET goal, 10:38DET goal, 15:05BUF goal, 17:10BUF goal, 19:08BUF goal, 1:33DET goal, 16:04DET goal, 16:52BUF goal, 3:20BUF goal, 4:32DET goal, 8:02DET goal, 19:00

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF36 on goal, 6 scored
DET31 on goal, 6 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. CozensC2133000020:394:41
T. ThompsonC112500+1019:274:16
C. MittelstadtC0223100018:211:35
A. TuchRW0112100022:114:18
J. GreenwayLW101312+2016:531:52
Z. GirgensonsC101301+1015:250:07
P. KrebsC011110+1015:211:38
K. OkposoRW011000+1213:530:07
J. SkinnerLW0003000216:522:28
J. QuinnRW000200-1012:391:35
J. PeterkaRW000200-1210:331:05
T. JostC000011-109:180:00
O. PowerD033400+3022:581:42
H. JokiharjuD112102+3219:060:10
R. DahlinD0111100030:424:16
M. SamuelssonD0002230024:190:00
I. LyubushkinD000002-2011:170:00
R. StillmanD000111-2011:000:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Levi32266.81365:00Win
E. Comrie000–0:00

DET Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
L. RaymondLW0331100021:513:07
D. LarkinC112310-2220:333:12
J. BerggrenRW112500+3011:380:45
D. PerronLW101300-3019:233:21
A. ChiassonRW1012110012:593:12
A. CzarnikC101500+209:120:00
M. LuffRW011000+109:040:00
A. CoppC000301+2023:040:54
P. SuterC0003000020:040:00
J. VelenoC000020-2015:060:54
D. KubalikLW000210-1014:580:59
A. ErneLW000011-1012:000:00
M. SeiderD022150-1028:223:14
J. WalmanD011202-2620:160:52
S. EdvinssonD1011000015:170:00
O. MaattaD0000100020:510:00
B. ChiarotD0001000018:220:00
J. OesterleD0000100017:010:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
V. Husso36306.83364:01OT loss
M. Hellberg000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.