Go ad-free AND support the site for the 26-27 season for just $18. Sign up now!
Game Recap
BUF1
FinalTue, Apr 4, 2023Every game that night
FLA2

FLA beat BUF 2-1, and the chances backed it up: 4.36 expected goals to 3.50. B. Montour led the way with 2 points (0 G, 2 A). A. Lyon stopped 39 of 40.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF1001
FLA1012
  1. 1st 8:58BUFD. CozensPP0.04 xG
  2. 1st 15:47FLAA. EkbladPP0.14 xG
  3. 3rd 0:59FLAM. Tkachuk0.04 xG

Team Stats

BUFFLA
40Shots on goal36
3.50Expected goals4.36
66Shot attempts61
295v5 shots on goal28
1/5Power play1/4
20Hits28
10Blocked shots16
8Penalty minutes10
10Giveaways8
2Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 3.50 xGFLA 4.36 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdBUF goal, 8:58FLA goal, 15:47FLA goal, 0:59

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF40 on goal, 1 scored
FLA36 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. CozensC1013000018:573:37
T. ThompsonC011200-1017:184:00
A. TuchRW0005100219:514:06
J. SkinnerLW000500-1017:544:14
J. QuinnRW0001300017:120:50
C. MittelstadtC0001010014:231:58
J. PeterkaRW0001010014:020:53
K. OkposoRW000120-1013:240:00
J. GreenwayLW0003210013:220:00
P. KrebsC0001100012:230:44
Z. GirgensonsC0007010011:490:00
T. JostC000011047:300:09
R. DahlinD011504-1025:423:51
H. JokiharjuD0003210024:240:00
M. SamuelssonD000160-1223:420:17
O. PowerD0000000022:311:27
I. LyubushkinD0001200010:540:00
R. StillmanD000000007:550:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Levi36342.94459:08Loss
E. Comrie000–0:00

FLA Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. BarkovC0114010022:095:22
M. TkachukLW101540+1021:336:20
A. LundellC011211+1215:450:51
S. ReinhartC0001010019:305:19
E. LuostarinenC000200+1217:132:01
C. VerhaegheC0005000015:451:38
E. StaalC0000000215:150:00
A. DuclairLW0002100014:481:59
R. LombergLW0001500014:080:00
N. CousinsC000110007:170:00
G. SmithRW000020006:400:00
C. WhiteC000120005:590:00
B. MontourD022402+1025:136:40
A. EkbladD1014120223:595:08
G. ForslingD0003120022:120:43
M. StaalD000024+1018:540:00
R. GudasD0001610015:270:10
J. MahuraD0000220212:290:04
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Lyon40391.97560:00Win
M. Guzda000–0:00