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Game Recap
BUF3
Final/SOThu, Dec 16, 2021Every game that night
MIN2

BUF beat MIN 3-2 in a shootout, with the chances close: 3.11 expected goals to 3.23. BUF outshot MIN 40 to 32. U. Luukkonen stopped 30 of 32.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdSOT
BUF01113
MIN11002
  1. 1st 10:11MINJ. Merrill0.04 xG
  2. 2nd 8:05BUFD. Cozens0.09 xG
  3. 2nd 19:04MINK. Kaprizov0.10 xG
  4. 3rd 12:03BUFM. Pysyk0.16 xG

Team Stats

BUFMIN
40Shots on goal32
3.11Expected goals3.23
61Shot attempts54
325v5 shots on goal24
0/2Power play0/2
20Hits23
8Blocked shots11
4Penalty minutes4
1Giveaways15
6Takeaways10

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 3.11 xGMIN 3.23 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTMIN goal, 10:11BUF goal, 8:05MIN goal, 19:04BUF goal, 12:03

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF39 on goal, 2 scored
MIN31 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. CozensC101510+1017:541:28
V. HinostrozaC0114000013:460:32
M. JankowskiLW011100+1011:400:00
K. OkposoRW000310+1021:392:00
V. OlofssonLW000500-1018:081:56
T. ThompsonC000600-1017:191:56
B. MurrayLW000020+1016:302:00
J. SkinnerLW000220-1016:151:28
C. EakinC000131-1015:320:04
R. AsplundC000100-1014:272:00
Z. GirgensonsC000220+1013:180:04
J. HaydenC0003200010:550:00
H. JokiharjuD011022+1021:540:36
M. PysykD1012100020:580:00
R. DahlinD000421+1425:452:09
J. BrysonD000001-2018:471:51
C. MillerD000023-1018:380:00
W. ButcherD000100+1018:111:56
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen32302.93864:24Win
M. Subban000–0:00

MIN Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
R. HartmanRW011510+2020:112:56
K. KaprizovLW101411+2018:332:56
M. ZuccarelloRW000201+2019:242:56
J. Eriksson EkC0004510019:052:44
K. FialaLW000300-1016:201:04
M. FolignoLW0002500015:581:16
J. GreenwayLW0002200014:341:04
B. DuhaimeLW000121-1013:260:00
N. BjugstadC000110-1013:250:00
F. GaudreauC000000-1213:180:00
N. SturmC000011-1013:160:00
V. RaskC000000-1011:190:00
D. KulikovD0111140219:420:00
J. MerrillD1011100018:080:00
A. GoligoskiD011120+1017:550:00
J. SpurgeonD011200+1014:362:45
M. DumbaD000210-1027:091:04
J. BrodinD000102-1024:411:15
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Talbot40382.95065:00OT loss
K. Kahkonen000–0:00