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Game Recap
BUF2
FinalSat, Nov 25, 2023Every game that night
NJD7

NJD beat BUF 7-2, and the chances backed it up: 4.21 expected goals to 0.94. NJD outshot BUF 37 to 12. T. Toffoli led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). V. Vanecek stopped 10 of 12.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF0112
NJD4127
  1. 1st 1:31NJDA. Holtz0.15 xG
  2. 1st 11:09NJDT. Toffoli0.28 xG
  3. 1st 15:20NJDN. Hischier0.35 xG
  4. 1st 18:27NJDO. Palat0.19 xG
  5. 2nd 1:53BUFJ. SkinnerPP0.15 xG
  6. 2nd 2:44NJDT. Toffoli0.05 xG
  7. 3rd 0:50NJDD. Mercer0.14 xG
  8. 3rd 3:55BUFK. OkposoPP0.09 xG
  9. 3rd 5:38NJDL. HughesPP0.08 xG

Team Stats

BUFNJD
12Shots on goal37
0.94Expected goals4.21
30Shot attempts72
105v5 shots on goal32
2/2Power play1/1
16Hits42
19Blocked shots9
4Penalty minutes6
0Giveaways12
4Takeaways13

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 0.94 xGNJD 4.21 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdNJD goal, 1:31NJD goal, 11:09NJD goal, 15:20NJD goal, 18:27BUF goal, 1:53NJD goal, 2:44NJD goal, 0:50BUF goal, 3:55NJD goal, 5:38

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF11 on goal, 2 scored
NJD37 on goal, 7 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. TuchRW011042-2017:001:11
C. MittelstadtC011200-2016:561:11
J. SkinnerLW101311-2016:151:11
J. PeterkaRW011202-1016:100:20
K. OkposoRW101211-1014:290:20
P. KrebsC0001020016:320:00
Z. BensonLW000012-2015:030:20
J.KulichC000110-1014:530:00
D. CozensC000001-2014:260:20
V. OlofssonLW000000-1013:131:11
I. RosenRW000000-2013:000:00
T. JostC000001-2011:190:00
O. PowerD011021-3027:590:20
R. DahlinD000013-1226:081:11
R. JohnsonD000000-1025:010:00
C. CliftonD000011-4217:070:00
E. JohnsonD000022-2016:030:00
M. SamuelssonD000120-106:270:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
E. Comrie17134.76520:00Loss
D. Levi20173.85039:45

NJD Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. MercerC112231+2019:250:00
T. ToffoliC202410+3017:440:14
J. BrattLW022220+2017:000:14
N. HischierC112230+2014:550:14
O. PalatLW112300+2013:130:00
A. HoltzRW112610+2013:090:00
J. HughesC011502+3020:090:14
E. HaulaLW011210+109:300:00
M. McLeodC000170+1014:060:00
N. BastianRW0002210011:350:00
C. TierneyC0001100010:470:00
L. HughesD112320+1020:270:14
D. HamiltonD022130+2220:150:00
B. SmithD011250+1416:300:00
J. MarinoD000131+3020:400:00
J. SiegenthalerD000001+3020:190:00
K. BahlD000071+3019:030:00
C. MillerD0000120018:180:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
V. Vanecek12102.83359:24Win
A. Schmid000–0:00