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Game Recap
BUF5
FinalSat, Jan 14, 2023Every game that night
NSH3

BUF beat NSH 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 4.04 expected goals to 3.26. NSH outshot BUF 41 to 33. R. Johansen led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 38 of 41.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF1225
NSH1203
  1. 1st 11:37BUFJ. Skinner0.15 xG
  2. 1st 15:23NSHR. JosiPP0.03 xG
  3. 2nd 2:05BUFD. Cozens0.09 xG
  4. 2nd 8:58BUFV. OlofssonPP0.10 xG
  5. 2nd 15:10NSHJ. Lauzon0.05 xG
  6. 2nd 15:50NSHR. Johansen0.07 xG
  7. 3rd 6:43BUFK. OkposoSH0.10 xG
  8. 3rd 16:49BUFJ. Quinn0.16 xG

Team Stats

BUFNSH
33Shots on goal41
4.04Expected goals3.26
58Shot attempts69
265v5 shots on goal27
1/4Power play1/3
14Hits36
18Blocked shots10
6Penalty minutes8
5Giveaways7
12Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 4.04 xGNSH 3.26 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdBUF goal, 11:37NSH goal, 15:23BUF goal, 2:05BUF goal, 8:58NSH goal, 15:10NSH goal, 15:50BUF goal, 6:43BUF goal, 16:49

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF33 on goal, 5 scored
NSH41 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. QuinnRW112210+1012:222:30
T. ThompsonC011720+1019:294:06
C. MittelstadtC011211-1017:512:34
J. SkinnerLW101300+1017:463:53
V. OlofssonLW101200-1017:203:16
D. CozensC101302+2014:383:24
K. OkposoRW101101+1012:000:00
J. PeterkaRW011200+1011:272:44
T. JostC000341-1221:000:00
A. TuchRW000120+1020:314:09
R. AsplundC000001008:570:00
V. HinostrozaC000200008:410:00
O. PowerD0114120025:312:26
R. DahlinD011014+1025:214:13
M. SamuelssonD0110030021:330:00
I. LyubushkinD011002+249:360:00
H. JokiharjuD0001210021:480:00
J. BrysonD000000+109:280:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen41383.92760:00Win
C. Anderson000–0:00

NSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
R. JohansenC112520-1015:552:13
J. ParssinenC011220-3017:022:13
C. SissonsC011051+1014:540:19
C. GlassC011100+1011:192:08
N. NiederreiterRW000521-1019:192:28
M. DucheneC000220-1019:162:28
M. GranlundC000200-1017:372:09
T. JeannotLW0003010015:570:00
F. ForsbergLW000221-2215:462:13
Y. TreninC0001100013:200:00
T. NovakC000301-1011:262:13
C. SmithRW000040+129:510:00
R. JosiD101840-3226:312:36
M. EkholmD0111110022:052:05
D. FabbroD0111120016:280:00
J. LauzonD101191+1016:200:00
R. McDonaghD000311-2022:310:20
R. McKeownD000100+1210:120:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Saros33285.84857:32Loss
K. Lankinen000–0:00