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Game Recap
BUF2
FinalThu, Mar 7, 2024Every game that night
NSH4

NSH beat BUF 4-2, and the chances backed it up: 3.39 expected goals to 2.25. F. Forsberg scored three for NSH. J. Saros stopped 26 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF1012
NSH2024
  1. 1st 3:53NSHF. ForsbergPP0.07 xG
  2. 1st 4:23BUFB. Byram0.08 xG
  3. 1st 16:15NSHL. EvangelistaPP0.33 xG
  4. 3rd 1:49NSHF. Forsberg0.11 xG
  5. 3rd 6:43NSHF. Forsberg0.09 xG
  6. 3rd 12:52BUFO. Power0.19 xG

Team Stats

BUFNSH
28Shots on goal24
2.25Expected goals3.39
45Shot attempts57
205v5 shots on goal21
0/3Power play2/3
16Hits17
8Blocked shots15
6Penalty minutes6
15Giveaways19
9Takeaways14

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.25 xGNSH 3.39 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdNSH goal, 3:53BUF goal, 4:23NSH goal, 16:15NSH goal, 1:49NSH goal, 6:43BUF goal, 12:52

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF28 on goal, 2 scored
NSH24 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
P. KrebsC011100+1011:420:23
D. CozensC0005100222:234:31
J. GreenwayLW000030-1019:402:51
A. TuchRW000221-1019:163:47
J. PeterkaRW000210+1017:251:05
K. OkposoRW000210-1015:252:09
V. OlofssonLW000200+2014:362:00
E. RobinsonLW000311-1013:540:00
Z. GirgensonsC000120-1213:170:00
Z. BensonLW000201-1012:091:07
J. SkinnerLW000010+1011:511:42
L. RousekRW000001+108:330:00
B. ByramD112301+1024:584:04
R. DahlinD011101+1226:054:41
O. PowerD101300-1021:571:23
H. JokiharjuD000012-1018:220:17
C. CliftonD0001300014:000:00
J. BrysonD0000000013:130:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
E. Comrie24204.83356:47Loss
U. Luukkonen000–0:00

NSH Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
F. ForsbergLW303811+2019:392:58
G. NyquistRW033100+1019:012:31
R. O'ReillyC011200+1020:002:27
M. JankowskiLW0110110014:572:12
T. NovakC0110020012:351:56
L. EvangelistaRW1013000010:312:00
M. McCarronC000140-2217:120:00
C. SmithRW000040-1015:330:00
C. SissonsC000000+1015:321:29
K. SherwoodLW000110-1014:010:00
C. GlassC000000-1011:062:15
D. GurianovRW000000007:490:00
R. JosiD0111040222:352:38
J. LauzonD011251+1021:170:00
R. McDonaghD000100-1020:051:49
A. CarrierD000002+1219:480:00
D. FabbroD0003030017:460:00
L. SchennD000111-1014:330:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Saros28262.92960:00Win
K. Lankinen000–0:00