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Game Recap
BUF2
FinalTue, Mar 7, 2023Every game that night
NYI3

NYI beat BUF 3-2, and the chances backed it up: 3.18 expected goals to 1.83. NYI outshot BUF 39 to 24. C. Cizikas led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). I. Sorokin stopped 22 of 24.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF0112
NYI0123
  1. 2nd 5:00BUFD. Cozens0.16 xG
  2. 2nd 12:38NYIC. Cizikas0.21 xG
  3. 3rd 1:51NYIJ. Bailey0.01 xG
  4. 3rd 4:59BUFK. Okposo0.02 xG
  5. 3rd 7:37NYIH. Fasching0.12 xG

Team Stats

BUFNYI
24Shots on goal39
1.83Expected goals3.18
60Shot attempts59
215v5 shots on goal33
0/2Power play0/2
9Hits23
8Blocked shots32
4Penalty minutes4
7Giveaways10
1Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 1.83 xGNYI 3.18 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdBUF goal, 5:00NYI goal, 12:38NYI goal, 1:51BUF goal, 4:59NYI goal, 7:37

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF24 on goal, 2 scored
NYI39 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. CozensC101411-1017:581:19
K. OkposoRW101220-1014:430:49
J. SkinnerLW0001000018:311:16
T. ThompsonC0003200017:481:13
C. MittelstadtC0002000016:590:55
J. QuinnRW0000100016:360:45
P. KrebsC0002100014:590:44
V. HinostrozaC0001010014:260:00
J. GreenwayLW000200-1014:130:00
T. JostC0001000012:140:00
V. OlofssonLW0002000011:531:15
Z. GirgensonsC0001000010:360:00
O. PowerD011200+1223:300:43
R. DahlinD0000020225:011:33
H. JokiharjuD000012+1022:140:00
J. BrysonD0000000018:150:00
I. LyubushkinD000102-2014:310:08
K. ClagueD000010-2014:050:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen39363.92357:28Loss
E. Comrie000–0:00

NYI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. CizikasC112320+2017:580:10
H. FaschingRW112302+3013:580:00
J. BaileyRW112100+3011:380:17
O. KoivulaLW011011+104:350:00
B. HorvatC000201-2022:401:58
A. LeeLW000322-2019:422:08
B. NelsonC0002110019:151:51
K. PalmieriC0003100216:171:24
Z. PariseLW0004120015:460:00
P. EngvallLW000100-2012:240:00
M. MartinLW0000720012:000:00
S. HolmstromRW0000010011:350:00
A. RomanovD022624+2018:590:00
R. PulockD000434+1022:050:44
S. MayfieldD0001230022:030:00
A. PelechD000212-1221:050:00
S. AhoD0000040017:360:00
N. DobsonD0004030017:042:08
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Sorokin24222.91759:20Win
S. Varlamov000–0:00