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Game Recap
BUF2
FinalSat, Oct 14, 2023Every game that night
NYI3

NYI beat BUF 3-2, with the chances close: 1.94 expected goals to 1.90. B. Nelson led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). I. Sorokin stopped 26 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF0112
NYI2013
  1. 1st 5:57NYIB. Nelson0.01 xG
  2. 1st 18:18NYIK. Palmieri0.20 xG
  3. 2nd 4:15BUFJ. Greenway0.19 xG
  4. 3rd 2:34BUFC. Mittelstadt0.14 xG
  5. 3rd 13:40NYIC. Cizikas0.07 xG

Team Stats

BUFNYI
28Shots on goal29
1.90Expected goals1.94
52Shot attempts57
265v5 shots on goal26
0/2Power play0/3
25Hits32
16Blocked shots15
4Penalty minutes4
8Giveaways20
7Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 1.90 xGNYI 1.94 xGGoal

00.511.521st2nd3rdNYI goal, 5:57NYI goal, 18:18BUF goal, 4:15BUF goal, 2:34NYI goal, 13:40

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF27 on goal, 2 scored
NYI29 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. MittelstadtC112200+2019:241:02
Z. BensonLW022100+2015:160:00
J. GreenwayLW101320+2015:530:00
J. SkinnerLW000100-1016:461:02
A. TuchRW000212-1016:140:24
T. ThompsonC000420-1016:000:24
J. PeterkaRW000300-2215:130:38
D. CozensC000220-2014:330:50
V. OlofssonLW000010-2013:360:00
P. KrebsC0000100212:070:00
K. OkposoRW0000100010:090:00
Z. GirgensonsC0000000010:070:00
R. DahlinD0113230023:590:56
O. PowerD0001020026:240:06
M. SamuelssonD000222+2023:120:00
H. JokiharjuD0001220018:040:00
C. CliftonD000243-3016:000:12
E. JohnsonD000152-1011:310:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Levi29263.89759:32Loss
U. Luukkonen000–0:00

NYI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
B. NelsonC112310+2016:372:26
K. PalmieriC101410+1016:322:23
P. EngvallLW011110+1014:262:09
C. ClutterbuckRW0111410013:120:03
C. CizikasC1011300012:450:03
B. HorvatC0008200220:582:38
M. BarzalC0003100020:073:04
J. PageauC000031-1015:301:57
S. HolmstromRW0000000015:070:00
A. LeeLW0002300014:172:12
H. FaschingRW0000100011:000:00
M. MartinLW0000600010:080:03
R. PulockD011014+1022:521:34
A. PelechD011022+1221:530:00
A. RomanovD0002020022:040:03
N. DobsonD0002100019:132:40
S. MayfieldD0002240016:470:00
S. AhoD0000010014:171:55
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Sorokin28262.92959:51Win
S. Varlamov000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.