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Game Recap
BUF4
Final/OTSun, Mar 27, 2022Every game that night
NYR5

NYR beat BUF 5-4 in overtime, and the chances backed it up: 4.15 expected goals to 1.25. NYR outshot BUF 31 to 17. F. Vatrano led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). A. Georgiev stopped 13 of 17.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
BUF12104
NYR21115
  1. 1st 3:59NYRF. Vatrano0.01 xG
  2. 1st 4:17NYRF. Vatrano0.23 xG
  3. 1st 18:12BUFR. Asplund0.11 xG
  4. 2nd 2:06BUFW. Butcher0.02 xG
  5. 2nd 6:48BUFK. Okposo0.13 xG
  6. 2nd 11:46NYRA. Lafrenière0.13 xG
  7. 3rd 3:52NYRA. Panarin0.05 xG
  8. 3rd 13:07BUFJ. SkinnerPP0.12 xG
  9. OT 2:02NYRK. Miller0.13 xG

Team Stats

BUFNYR
17Shots on goal31
1.25Expected goals4.15
35Shot attempts60
165v5 shots on goal23
1/1Power play0/1
20Hits18
9Blocked shots14
0Penalty minutes2
12Giveaways13
3Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 1.25 xGNYR 4.15 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdOTNYR goal, 3:59NYR goal, 4:17BUF goal, 18:12BUF goal, 2:06BUF goal, 6:48NYR goal, 11:46NYR goal, 3:52BUF goal, 13:07NYR goal, 2:02

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF16 on goal, 4 scored
NYR31 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. MittelstadtC0221000015:190:59
K. OkposoRW101320-1016:510:00
J. SkinnerLW101101-2015:250:59
Z. GirgensonsC0110300014:390:00
R. AsplundC1011100014:330:00
P. KrebsC011000+1014:240:00
V. HinostrozaC0110100014:210:00
T. ThompsonC000200-3017:250:59
A. TuchRW000101-2016:270:59
C. EakinC0001000015:510:00
D. CozensC000400+1014:170:00
V. OlofssonLW000002+1013:310:00
R. DahlinD022041-3026:450:59
M. SamuelssonD011122+3022:090:00
W. ButcherD101210-1012:480:00
H. JokiharjuD000021-2024:570:00
J. BrysonD000001+2017:210:00
C. FitzgeraldD000040-2017:030:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Anderson31265.83962:02OT loss
D. Tokarski000–0:00

NYR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. CoppC022101+2019:031:20
F. VatranoRW202320+1018:190:40
A. LafrenièreLW112330+1014:590:40
A. PanarinLW101300+1021:101:20
C. KreiderLW0111020018:461:20
F. ChytilC0111000016:210:40
J. BrodzinskiC011110+1010:370:00
M. ZibanejadC000310+1018:341:20
B. GoodrowC0001100017:430:40
T. MotteC000230-1014:080:00
D. HuntLW0001010010:020:00
R. StromeC000000-105:340:00
J. TroubaD011532+2022:420:40
K. MillerD101222+2022:070:00
A. FoxD000200-1024:251:20
R. LindgrenD0001010020:590:00
B. SchneiderD0000130015:110:00
P. NemethD0001120214:270:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Georgiev17134.76562:02Win
I. Shesterkin000–0:00