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Game Recap
BUF3
Final/SOMon, Apr 10, 2023Every game that night
NYR2

BUF beat NYR 3-2 in a shootout, and the chances backed it up: 4.85 expected goals to 3.34. BUF outshot NYR 39 to 28. A. Panarin led the way with 2 points (2 G, 0 A). D. Levi stopped 26 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdSOT
BUF10113
NYR02002
  1. 1st 14:24BUFJ. Peterka0.21 xG
  2. 2nd 1:01NYRA. PanarinPP0.07 xG
  3. 2nd 11:12NYRA. Panarin0.12 xG
  4. 3rd 8:13BUFC. Mittelstadt0.39 xG

Team Stats

BUFNYR
39Shots on goal28
4.85Expected goals3.34
55Shot attempts50
315v5 shots on goal26
0/2Power play1/2
13Hits15
12Blocked shots8
4Penalty minutes2
7Giveaways14
8Takeaways15

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 4.85 xGNYR 3.34 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdOTBUF goal, 14:24NYR goal, 1:01NYR goal, 11:12BUF goal, 8:13

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF38 on goal, 2 scored
NYR28 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. TuchRW011300+1023:332:39
C. MittelstadtC101410+1021:131:27
J. QuinnRW0112000010:020:45
J. PeterkaRW101200009:150:45
T. JostC011111007:580:00
J. SkinnerLW000400+1020:232:33
T. ThompsonC0004210219:362:33
D. CozensC0005010018:551:51
J. GreenwayLW0003110015:210:00
K. OkposoRW0003000015:170:42
Z. GirgensonsC0000110014:250:00
P. KrebsC0002020014:010:45
R. DahlinD000201+1030:402:33
M. SamuelssonD000021+2028:190:00
H. JokiharjuD0000120025:560:00
O. PowerD0004100025:371:27
I. LyubushkinD000010027:470:00
R. StillmanD000021-106:300:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Levi28262.92965:00Win
U. Luukkonen000–0:00

NYR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. PanarinLW2022000219:142:46
M. ZibanejadC0114100019:152:46
P. KaneRW0111010017:122:48
V. TarasenkoRW011100-1016:391:00
C. KreiderLW000101-1018:352:50
V. TrocheckC000121-1017:441:05
F. ChytilC0006000017:031:04
A. LafrenièreLW0002100015:551:03
K. KakkoRW0002000014:360:00
B. GoodrowC0000300012:180:04
T. MotteC0000100011:210:03
J. VeseyLW000110009:540:01
A. FoxD0000000026:152:40
J. TroubaD000130-1021:411:14
K. MillerD000011-1020:280:06
R. LindgrenD0001210020:180:00
N. MikkolaD0003020018:560:00
B. SchneiderD0002010017:180:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Shesterkin39372.94965:00OT loss
J. Halak000–0:00