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Game Recap
BUF3
Final/OTSat, Dec 23, 2023Every game that night
NYR4

NYR beat BUF 4-3 in overtime, with the chances close: 3.18 expected goals to 2.83. M. Zibanejad led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). I. Shesterkin stopped 27 of 30.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdOTT
BUF11103
NYR21014
  1. 1st 7:19NYRR. Lindgren0.02 xG
  2. 1st 15:35NYRA. PanarinPP0.06 xG
  3. 1st 16:37BUFR. Dahlin0.13 xG
  4. 2nd 1:42BUFJ. Quinn0.11 xG
  5. 2nd 7:13NYRM. Zibanejad0.16 xG
  6. 3rd 6:50BUFC. Mittelstadt0.19 xG
  7. OT 2:28NYRC. Kreider0.24 xG

Team Stats

BUFNYR
30Shots on goal33
2.83Expected goals3.18
57Shot attempts78
265v5 shots on goal23
0/1Power play1/4
18Hits13
26Blocked shots13
33Penalty minutes7
5Giveaways7
7Takeaways6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.83 xGNYR 3.18 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.51st2nd3rdOTNYR goal, 7:19NYR goal, 15:35BUF goal, 16:37BUF goal, 1:42NYR goal, 7:13BUF goal, 6:50NYR goal, 2:28

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF30 on goal, 3 scored
NYR33 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. GreenwayLW022121+2218:580:00
C. MittelstadtC101411+2017:331:20
D. CozensC011111-1015:590:22
J. QuinnRW101200-2015:100:00
J. PeterkaRW011100-1013:500:33
A. TuchRW0004000019:001:15
T. ThompsonC000420-1018:481:04
Z. BensonLW000100+2013:370:17
J. SkinnerLW00010001213:051:37
K. OkposoRW0003020012:300:00
P. KrebsC0001000010:440:00
V. OlofssonLW0001000010:110:00
R. DahlinD101533-1227:081:37
M. SamuelssonD0000270028:350:00
C. CliftonD0000470024:120:00
O. PowerD000022+1022:140:00
R. JohnsonD000102+1012:420:00
E. JohnsonD0000100177:100:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen33294.87962:05OT loss
D. Levi000–0:00

NYR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. ZibanejadC123400+1023:255:41
C. KreiderLW112430+1021:045:37
A. PanarinLW1015000019:455:41
B. WheelerRW0110000015:571:13
J. BrodzinskiC011001-1010:490:54
N. BoninoC011103-1010:030:00
V. TrocheckC0003210021:194:39
A. LafrenièreLW0003000016:301:13
J. VeseyLW0001100015:101:20
B. GoodrowC0000110214:250:28
T. PitlickC0005000011:040:00
W. CuylleLW000010-1510:410:00
A. FoxD011101+3026:045:41
R. LindgrenD101300+2021:170:00
K. MillerD0000010023:550:04
J. TroubaD0002340021:350:00
E. GustafssonD000100-3012:221:13
B. SchneiderD000021-3010:590:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
I. Shesterkin30273.90062:24Win
J. Quick000–0:00