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Game Recap
BUF5
FinalWed, Nov 1, 2023Every game that night
PHI2

BUF beat PHI 5-2 despite fewer good chances: 2.22 expected goals to 2.95. PHI outshot BUF 40 to 15. T. Thompson led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 38 of 40.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF2035
PHI2002
  1. 1st 0:55PHIJ. Farabee0.05 xG
  2. 1st 3:38BUFC. Mittelstadt0.13 xG
  3. 1st 10:00BUFB. Biro0.21 xG
  4. 1st 16:17PHIC. Atkinson0.05 xG
  5. 3rd 3:03BUFO. Power0.11 xG
  6. 3rd 13:28BUFT. Thompson0.18 xG
  7. 3rd 16:52BUFB. BiroEN0.92 xG

Team Stats

BUFPHI
15Shots on goal40
2.22Expected goals2.95
37Shot attempts75
125v5 shots on goal30
0/2Power play0/3
18Hits33
18Blocked shots12
6Penalty minutes4
9Giveaways6
7Takeaways11

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.22 xGPHI 2.95 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdPHI goal, 0:55BUF goal, 3:38BUF goal, 10:00PHI goal, 16:17BUF goal, 3:03BUF goal, 13:28BUF goal, 16:52

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF15 on goal, 5 scored
PHI40 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC123102+3017:592:18
A. TuchRW022131+2017:501:23
C. MittelstadtC1121110015:120:37
B. BiroLW202201+2010:390:00
J. SkinnerLW0112000015:382:18
J. GreenwayLW011010+2015:360:00
J. PeterkaRW0112010015:021:26
P. KrebsC011000+1413:060:43
K. OkposoRW000000-1015:230:37
D. CozensC0001000014:331:41
Z. GirgensonsC0000100014:010:00
T. JostC0000000011:160:00
O. PowerD101102+3023:451:14
M. SamuelssonD000063+1226:070:00
R. DahlinD000140+1023:492:18
H. JokiharjuD000305+2019:280:00
E. JohnsonD0000100016:200:00
J. BrysonD000012-108:230:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen40382.95060:00Win
D. Levi000–0:00

PHI Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
C. AtkinsonRW101500-2018:072:47
J. FarabeeLW1013010014:020:00
T. KonecnyRW000500-1019:132:47
S. CouturierC000000-1018:342:46
M. FrostC0000200016:412:01
T. FoersterRW000201-1016:182:04
O. TippettRW000630-2015:312:01
B. BrinkRW000210-2015:302:31
N. CatesLW000210-2015:292:02
S. LaughtonC0000510011:330:00
N. DeslauriersLW0001600210:190:00
G. HathawayRW0002700010:150:00
T. SanheimD022201-2224:352:47
C. YorkD000312-1025:042:01
S. WalkerD000314-1020:330:13
N. SeelerD000111-1017:270:00
E. ZamulaD0001200014:510:00
L. BelpedioD0002310012:420:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Hart532.60010:00
S. Ersson972.77849:16Loss