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Game Recap
BUF3
FinalTue, Nov 2, 2021Every game that night
SJS5

SJS beat BUF 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 2.37 expected goals to 1.48. T. Hertl led the way with 3 points (2 G, 1 A). J. Reimer stopped 25 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF1113
SJS2125
  1. 1st 7:25SJSJ. Dahlen0.38 xG
  2. 1st 8:48BUFJ. Skinner0.04 xG
  3. 1st 12:49SJSR. Merkley0.01 xG
  4. 2nd 6:13SJST. Hertl0.18 xG
  5. 2nd 13:33BUFD. Caggiula0.04 xG
  6. 3rd 6:02SJSM. Ferraro0.04 xG
  7. 3rd 11:46SJST. Hertl0.13 xG
  8. 3rd 18:13BUFJ. Skinner0.01 xG

Team Stats

BUFSJS
28Shots on goal27
1.48Expected goals2.37
45Shot attempts45
255v5 shots on goal22
0/2Power play0/1
19Hits24
12Blocked shots11
4Penalty minutes6
5Giveaways7
7Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 1.48 xGSJS 2.37 xGGoal

00.511.522.51st2nd3rdSJS goal, 7:25BUF goal, 8:48SJS goal, 12:49SJS goal, 6:13BUF goal, 13:33SJS goal, 6:02SJS goal, 11:46BUF goal, 18:13

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF28 on goal, 3 scored
SJS27 on goal, 5 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. SkinnerLW202601+2020:111:27
V. HinostrozaC022200+1215:450:00
T. ThompsonC011110+1022:071:27
R. AsplundC011312+1021:351:27
D. CozensC0111100214:181:09
D. CaggiulaLW101300+1013:290:00
K. OkposoRW000130-1015:541:09
Z. GirgensonsC000120-1015:431:09
C. EakinC000111-1013:400:00
A. BjorkLW000000-309:180:00
J. HaydenC000121-208:170:00
A. RuotsalainenC000100-208:130:00
R. HaggD011123-1016:170:00
R. DahlinD0001100025:121:27
W. ButcherD0002000024:451:27
J. BrysonD000012-1018:261:09
C. MillerD000121-1018:221:09
M. PysykD000221-1016:580:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
C. Anderson27225.81557:30Loss
D. Tokarski000–0:00

SJS Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. HertlC213300+3016:220:00
R. BalcersLW022420+3017:370:00
A. BarabanovLW011000+2016:270:00
J. DahlenC101110+1014:550:36
W. EklundLW011000+1013:060:06
N. MerkleyRW0112100010:300:00
J. WeatherbyC0111310410:210:30
L. CoutureC000421+1017:530:36
N. BoninoC000000-2016:400:20
A. CoglianoC000000-1015:430:00
L. PedersonC000120-2014:110:00
J. LeonardLW000200-109:540:00
M. FerraroD112345-1028:480:06
B. BurnsD011401-1226:590:36
R. MerkleyD101201+3013:360:00
J. MegnaD000020+3023:580:00
N. MelocheD0000610019:140:00
S. HatakkaD000011007:410:10
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Reimer28253.89360:00Win
A. Hill000–0:00