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Game Recap
BUF5
FinalSat, Jan 27, 2024Every game that night
SJS2

BUF beat SJS 5-2, and the chances backed it up: 4.10 expected goals to 1.89. BUF outshot SJS 36 to 26. D. Cozens led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 24 of 26.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF2125
SJS2002
  1. 1st 8:06SJSM. Vlasic0.02 xG
  2. 1st 10:42SJSJ. Rutta0.01 xG
  3. 1st 14:14BUFJ. Peterka0.22 xG
  4. 1st 18:01BUFJ. Greenway0.20 xG
  5. 2nd 1:36BUFA. Tuch0.11 xG
  6. 3rd 4:33BUFJ. Peterka0.09 xG
  7. 3rd 15:44BUFD. CozensEN0.46 xG

Team Stats

BUFSJS
36Shots on goal26
4.10Expected goals1.89
65Shot attempts64
305v5 shots on goal23
0/2Power play0/2
14Hits14
17Blocked shots12
10Penalty minutes10
6Giveaways5
6Takeaways12

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 4.10 xGSJS 1.89 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdSJS goal, 8:06SJS goal, 10:42BUF goal, 14:14BUF goal, 18:01BUF goal, 1:36BUF goal, 4:33BUF goal, 15:44

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF36 on goal, 5 scored
SJS25 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. CozensC123300+1014:141:27
A. TuchRW112302+2017:591:42
C. MittelstadtC022100+2015:322:09
J. PeterkaRW2025010014:142:16
J. GreenwayLW101130+3015:370:54
J. QuinnRW0112200012:312:11
T. ThompsonC0002100015:511:38
J. SkinnerLW0000000215:491:41
Z. BensonLW0001000015:280:00
K. OkposoRW0002100413:091:18
P. KrebsC0000000012:580:08
E. RobinsonLW0002300012:570:00
O. PowerD011302+3024:172:21
R. DahlinD000311+1024:481:43
H. JokiharjuD000404+3219:550:32
C. CliftonD000432+1218:010:00
R. JohnsonD0000030016:280:00
J. BrysonD000002-2014:120:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen26242.92360:00Win
D. Levi000–0:00

SJS Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
W. EklundLW0220100215:352:31
F. ZetterlundLW000311-1020:192:28
A. BarabanovLW000100-2019:182:29
M. HoffmanC000400-1217:051:57
T. HertlC000100-1016:501:30
L. CoutureC000110-2215:482:18
A. DuclairLW000010-1015:461:14
N. SturmC0000100015:381:32
R. CarpenterC000000-1013:120:00
L. KuninC000220+1212:400:43
F. ZadinaRW000200-1011:361:32
J. BaileyRW000000-208:470:00
J. RuttaD1012020021:080:00
T. EmbersonD011021+1019:470:03
M. VlasicD101503+1017:560:03
S. MukhamadullinD0003120019:211:40
K. BurroughsD000120-3217:090:00
N. OkhotiukD000123-3016:530:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
K. Kahkonen35314.88659:12Loss
M. Blackwood000–0:00