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Game Recap
BUF5
FinalTue, Jan 24, 2023Every game that night
STL3

BUF beat STL 5-3, and the chances backed it up: 4.28 expected goals to 2.63. T. Thompson led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 25 of 28.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF3115
STL0213
  1. 1st 1:00BUFJ. Skinner0.17 xG
  2. 1st 1:25BUFA. Tuch0.16 xG
  3. 1st 9:07BUFO. Power0.13 xG
  4. 2nd 1:10BUFT. Thompson0.07 xG
  5. 2nd 4:33STLI. Barbashev0.12 xG
  6. 2nd 7:56STLB. Schenn0.09 xG
  7. 3rd 0:47STLJ. Kyrou0.10 xG
  8. 3rd 19:00BUFD. CozensEN0.32 xG

Team Stats

BUFSTL
31Shots on goal28
4.28Expected goals2.63
43Shot attempts44
235v5 shots on goal24
0/2Power play0/2
13Hits18
5Blocked shots7
6Penalty minutes6
5Giveaways5
9Takeaways9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 4.28 xGSTL 2.63 xGGoal

012341st2nd3rdBUF goal, 1:00BUF goal, 1:25BUF goal, 9:07BUF goal, 1:10STL goal, 4:33STL goal, 7:56STL goal, 0:47BUF goal, 19:00

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF28 on goal, 5 scored
STL27 on goal, 3 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
T. ThompsonC123310+2014:313:02
A. TuchRW112300+2016:323:09
J. SkinnerLW112100+1013:433:06
D. CozensC101520+1018:382:55
K. OkposoRW0113200214:380:14
J. PeterkaRW011110+1011:540:39
T. JostC0001100015:530:00
C. MittelstadtC0003000015:440:48
V. OlofssonLW0000000015:350:48
P. KrebsC000010-1214:030:15
Z. GirgensonsC000210-1013:580:10
J. QuinnRW0000100012:280:37
M. SamuelssonD0111210021:380:00
H. JokiharjuD011200+2019:470:17
O. PowerD101100+2019:281:05
R. DahlinD000312+1226:572:55
I. LyubushkinD0001010014:470:00
J. BrysonD000101-1014:000:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen28253.89360:00Win
E. Comrie000–0:00

STL Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. KyrouRW101500-1019:372:48
B. SchennC101220-1018:082:47
I. BarbashevLW101210-1018:002:39
B. SaadLW0112000017:101:00
R. ThomasC000110-1020:392:51
V. TarasenkoRW000510-1017:192:46
N. AcciariC0000200014:390:04
J. NeighboursLW0000500013:240:59
A. ToropchenkoRW000210-1012:240:00
L. BrownC0001010410:300:54
T. PitlickC000001-109:420:00
N. WalkerLW000110-109:220:00
T. KrugD022211+1021:152:57
J. FaulkD022101+2021:070:49
N. LeddyD0110020021:410:00
N. MikkolaD000120-1219:020:00
T. TuckerD000210-1016:160:00
C. ParaykoD000101-4016:150:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
J. Binnington30264.86757:30Loss
T. Greiss000–0:00