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Game Recap
BUF3
FinalMon, Dec 19, 2022Every game that night
VGK2

BUF beat VGK 3-2 despite fewer good chances: 2.04 expected goals to 5.35. VGK outshot BUF 43 to 18. L. Pilut led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 41 of 43.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
BUF0303
VGK0022
  1. 2nd 1:53BUFJ. Skinner0.07 xG
  2. 2nd 7:15BUFT. Thompson0.17 xG
  3. 2nd 13:28BUFL. Pilut0.01 xG
  4. 3rd 3:54VGKC. Stephenson0.19 xG
  5. 3rd 17:38VGKR. Smith0.06 xG

Team Stats

BUFVGK
18Shots on goal43
2.04Expected goals5.35
41Shot attempts71
185v5 shots on goal28
0/1Power play0/3
16Hits13
15Blocked shots9
6Penalty minutes2
10Giveaways6
12Takeaways11

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

BUF 2.04 xGVGK 5.35 xGGoal

0123451st2nd3rdBUF goal, 1:53BUF goal, 7:15BUF goal, 13:28VGK goal, 3:54VGK goal, 17:38

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

BUF17 on goal, 3 scored
VGK42 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. TuchRW011212+2018:440:58
T. ThompsonC101311+2017:570:53
J. SkinnerLW101110+2016:260:58
K. OkposoRW0113010014:220:00
P. KrebsC011110+1011:020:00
D. CozensC000110-1018:180:55
C. MittelstadtC000001-1017:231:02
V. OlofssonLW000100-1015:221:07
Z. GirgensonsC0000200013:290:00
T. JostC000100-1012:460:00
J. QuinnRW000000009:451:01
J. PeterkaRW000010009:271:05
L. PilutD112100+1013:310:00
C. FitzgeraldD011000+2015:330:00
R. DahlinD0001260029:031:15
M. SamuelssonD0003230228:300:01
K. ClagueD0000000016:450:45
I. LyubushkinD000041-1415:370:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen43412.95360:00Win
C. Anderson000–0:00

VGK Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
R. SmithRW1015100022:284:40
C. StephensonC101100+1021:204:10
W. KarlssonC0113000020:561:51
M. AmadioRW0112000013:340:00
M. StoneRW000510+1022:414:48
J. MarchessaultRW0008100022:394:48
N. RoyC0001110016:541:12
W. CarrierLW0002200014:331:19
K. KolesarRW0003400210:240:00
J. RondbjergRW000000008:340:00
P. KesselRW000100-208:331:12
J. LeschyshynC000100-106:290:00
A. PietrangeloD011411+1028:434:59
A. MartinezD011311-1020:070:00
D. MiromanovD0000020017:281:01
B. McNabbD0002120017:250:00
N. HagueD000001-2014:460:00
B. HuttonD000201-1012:580:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Hill18153.83357:28Loss
L. Thompson000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.