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Game Recap
CAR5
FinalWed, Feb 1, 2023Every game that night
BUF1

CAR beat BUF 5-1, with the chances close: 3.50 expected goals to 2.80. S. Noesen led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). A. Raanta stopped 29 of 30.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
CAR3025
BUF1001
  1. 1st 2:35CARS. AhoPP0.10 xG
  2. 1st 10:05CARS. Noesen0.19 xG
  3. 1st 12:47CARB. Burns0.14 xG
  4. 1st 14:45BUFA. Tuch0.00 xG
  5. 3rd 10:30CARD. Stepan0.20 xG
  6. 3rd 18:19CARJ. MartinookEN0.75 xG

Team Stats

CARBUF
34Shots on goal30
3.50Expected goals2.80
56Shot attempts53
295v5 shots on goal25
1/2Power play0/4
12Hits8
11Blocked shots16
8Penalty minutes4
5Giveaways5
8Takeaways8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 3.50 xGBUF 2.80 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdCAR goal, 2:35CAR goal, 10:05CAR goal, 12:47BUF goal, 14:45CAR goal, 10:30CAR goal, 18:19

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR34 on goal, 5 scored
BUF30 on goal, 1 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. KotkaniemiC022000+1013:521:14
S. NoesenRW112130+2010:282:01
J. MartinookLW101311+1019:230:00
J. StaalC011132+1018:410:00
S. AhoC1012000015:552:01
T. TeravainenC0113000015:211:58
M. NecasC011300+1014:041:10
A. SvechnikovRW0112020013:202:02
D. StepanC101400+1010:120:00
J. FastRW0001100017:420:00
S. JarvisRW0003010014:171:11
P. StastnyC000221+1011:101:11
J. ChatfieldD022100+2422:090:00
B. BurnsD101200+2223:301:18
B. PesceD000200+1019:570:00
B. SkjeiD000221+1219:431:54
C. de HaanD0001010018:300:00
D. CoghlanD0001020013:460:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Raanta30291.96760:00Win
F. Andersen000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
A. TuchRW101402-2019:164:09
C. MittelstadtC000201-1018:544:20
P. KrebsC0001120017:350:40
V. OlofssonLW000401-1017:234:12
J. SkinnerLW000201-1017:163:46
K. OkposoRW0004100016:412:45
J. QuinnRW000301-1014:393:51
J. PeterkaRW000000-2013:553:35
D. CozensC0002000013:212:46
Z. GirgensonsC0003110012:340:00
T. JostC000002-1212:220:00
T. ThompsonC000101-1211:161:27
H. JokiharjuD0111110020:191:06
R. DahlinD000100-2026:513:57
O. PowerD000200-1022:453:12
M. SamuelssonD000010-1014:530:00
J. BrysonD000020-1014:080:28
I. LyubushkinD000013-1014:010:23
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen33294.87958:39Loss
E. Comrie000–0:00

Storylines That Played Out

As Tonight had them before puck drop, with what each player did.