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Game Recap
CAR3
FinalSat, Apr 8, 2023Every game that night
BUF4

BUF beat CAR 4-3 despite fewer good chances: 2.64 expected goals to 3.55. R. Dahlin led the way with 3 points (1 G, 2 A). D. Levi stopped 31 of 34.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdT
CAR2103
BUF1214
  1. 1st 4:00BUFC. Mittelstadt0.14 xG
  2. 1st 14:34CARS. Jarvis0.15 xG
  3. 1st 14:56CARJ. Fast0.10 xG
  4. 2nd 4:04BUFR. DahlinPP0.07 xG
  5. 2nd 11:04CARS. Aho0.16 xG
  6. 2nd 18:18BUFC. Mittelstadt0.20 xG
  7. 3rd 6:15BUFT. Thompson0.20 xG

Team Stats

CARBUF
34Shots on goal30
3.55Expected goals2.64
69Shot attempts45
325v5 shots on goal26
0/2Power play1/4
20Hits25
5Blocked shots15
6Penalty minutes4
8Giveaways10
6Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 3.55 xGBUF 2.64 xGGoal

00.511.522.533.541st2nd3rdBUF goal, 4:00CAR goal, 14:34CAR goal, 14:56BUF goal, 4:04CAR goal, 11:04BUF goal, 18:18BUF goal, 6:15

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR34 on goal, 3 scored
BUF29 on goal, 4 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
S. AhoC1013300020:592:10
T. TeravainenC0113000019:581:46
S. JarvisRW1014000017:062:10
J. KotkaniemiC0115100216:491:50
J. PuljujarviRW011340-1016:421:50
J. StaalC011210+1015:170:00
J. MartinookLW011230+1015:100:00
J. FastRW101320+1014:260:00
M. NecasC0000000018:162:10
J. DruryC000101-1010:282:14
P. StastnyC000110-106:300:00
D. StepanC000020006:110:00
B. BurnsD0003010024:382:10
B. SkjeiD000221-2022:371:50
J. SlavinD0001000022:060:00
B. PesceD0000020019:080:00
S. GostisbehereD000000+1216:331:50
J. ChatfieldD000110+1213:010:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
A. Raanta30264.86757:37Loss
F. Andersen000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
J. SkinnerLW022600+2218:453:49
C. MittelstadtC202401+2017:561:59
A. TuchRW011221+2021:224:16
D. CozensC011210+1019:153:25
T. ThompsonC101430+1016:084:25
P. KrebsC000110-1016:362:33
K. OkposoRW000220-1015:370:00
Z. GirgensonsC000212-1014:500:00
J. GreenwayLW000220+1014:110:00
J. QuinnRW000000-2010:352:10
J. PeterkaRW000000-2010:113:02
T. JostC000020-205:570:02
R. DahlinD123324+2025:324:06
O. PowerD011102-1023:262:23
H. JokiharjuD000030-1224:470:10
M. SamuelssonD000134+2023:460:00
I. LyubushkinD000000-109:300:00
R. StillmanD000031-107:360:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
D. Levi34313.91260:00Win
U. Luukkonen000–0:00