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Game Recap
CAR2
Final/SOSun, Feb 25, 2024Every game that night
BUF3

BUF beat CAR 3-2 in a shootout, with the chances close: 2.90 expected goals to 2.64. M. Necas led the way with 2 points (1 G, 1 A). U. Luukkonen stopped 30 of 32.

Scoring

1st2nd3rdSOT
CAR10102
BUF01113
  1. 1st 2:40CART. DeAngelo0.10 xG
  2. 2nd 6:27BUFJ. SkinnerPP0.25 xG
  3. 3rd 14:42CARM. NecasPP0.06 xG
  4. 3rd 15:55BUFO. Power0.14 xG

Team Stats

CARBUF
32Shots on goal32
2.64Expected goals2.90
75Shot attempts81
255v5 shots on goal25
1/2Power play1/2
14Hits23
25Blocked shots23
4Penalty minutes4
5Giveaways4
6Takeaways5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked shot had of going in, by our model, added up.

Expected Goals Over the Game

CAR 2.64 xGBUF 2.90 xGGoal

00.511.522.531st2nd3rdOTCAR goal, 2:40BUF goal, 6:27CAR goal, 14:42BUF goal, 15:55

Each step up is a shot: how likely it was to go in. A team well above the other had the better chances, whatever the score.

Shot Map

CAR31 on goal, 2 scored
BUF32 on goal, 2 scored

GoalSavedMissedBlockedBigger: a better chance

Box Score

CAR Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
M. NecasC112402+1019:041:04
T. TeravainenC0112000016:211:02
M. BuntingLW011000+1016:031:43
S. AhoC000100-1021:091:42
A. SvechnikovRW000333-1018:521:38
S. JarvisRW000103-1016:491:40
J. DruryC000301+1015:391:00
J. MartinookLW0001110014:380:00
J. FastRW0002320014:300:00
J. StaalC0002000213:450:00
S. NoesenRW0002200011:330:59
J. KotkaniemiC0000010010:120:00
B. SkjeiD011213+1220:461:04
T. DeAngeloD101101+1015:460:00
J. SlavinD0002120022:280:00
B. PesceD000413-1021:480:00
D. OrlovD000120-1021:140:00
B. BurnsD0001030020:551:38
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
S. Martin32302.93865:00OT loss
P. Kochetkov000–0:00

BUF Skaters

PlayerPosGAPSOGHITBLK+/-PIMTOIPP TOI
D. CozensC011150-1020:532:28
J. SkinnerLW1015010018:352:32
P. KrebsC011100+1015:021:00
Z. BensonLW011111+1014:280:00
K. OkposoRW0111000010:521:21
A. TuchRW0001400020:332:06
C. MittelstadtC000201-1020:061:01
J. GreenwayLW000123-1018:550:56
T. ThompsonC0005110018:182:28
J. PeterkaRW000000+1012:560:00
E. RobinsonLW000220009:590:00
Z. GirgensonsC000201009:540:00
O. PowerD1011120023:050:00
R. DahlinD0005140431:433:03
H. JokiharjuD0003030022:510:25
J. BrysonD000112+1018:350:00
C. CliftonD0000220015:210:00
E. JohnsonD000032-1010:120:00
GoalieSASVGASV%TOI
U. Luukkonen32302.93865:00Win
E. Comrie000–0:00